LI
Li Auto Inc
$12.25
▼ 1.0%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
LI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 25/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 54.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$12.22B
P/E
73.53x
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
-2.5%
Revenue Growth
-24.4%
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
-1.7%
FCF Yield
17.8%
Debt / Equity
0.37x
ROIC
-1.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.81x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
25/100
Li Auto Inc (LI) is a large-cap company in the Automobiles industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $12.22B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $15.72B in revenue.
Our model rates LI Weak (25/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (7 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
20.5% average over the last 3 years
±7.1 pts around 16.9% across 7 years
grew in 5 of the last 6 year-over-year periods
positive in 5 of 7 years
-1.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what LI's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. LI trades near $12.25, below its 50-day average ($15.48) and 200-day average ($18.21). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 20 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. LI's is $0.40 (~3.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month LI found buyers near $11.65 (support) and sellers near $14.72 (resistance); its 52-week range is $11.65–$32.03. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
42.8%
Revenue moved from $39.81M in 2019 to $15.72B in 2025, a 170.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 24.4% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
18.7%
Operating Margin
-0.5%
Net Margin
-1.7%
ROE
-2.5%
Li Auto Inc keeps about -1.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 18.7% gross margin and -0.5% operating margin. Return on equity is -2.5% and return on invested capital about -1.0%. The company is currently unprofitable on a net basis.
Total Debt
$78.41M
Net Debt
-$8.03B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.37x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, with a current ratio of 1.8x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $78.41M of total debt against $8.11B of cash.
Operating CF
-$1.21B
Free Cash Flow
-$1.79B
FCF Margin
-11.4%
In the latest year Li Auto Inc produced about -$1.21B of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 17.8% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
73.53x
P/S
0.74x
P/B
1.58x
EV / EBITDA
7.12x
LI trades at 73.5x trailing earnings, 0.7x sales, and 1.6x book value. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Where LI sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How LI stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), LI ranks #77 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (73.5x P/E vs. 25.1x median) with a lower return on equity (-2.5% vs. 26.2%) and slower revenue growth (-24.4% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
73.5x
median 25.1x
ROE vs sector
-2.5%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
-24.4%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#77
of 158 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $12.25 today · expected CAGR 15% – 27%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.20B | $16.68B | $17.18B | $17.70B | $18.23B |
| Net income | $485.86M | $500.44M | $515.45M | $530.92M | $546.84M |
| EPS | $0.49 | $0.50 | $0.52 | $0.53 | $0.55 |
| Share price (low) | $21.44 | $22.08 | $22.74 | $23.43 | $24.13 |
| Share price (high) | $36.06 | $37.14 | $38.25 | $39.40 | $40.58 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 75% / 194% | 34% / 74% | 23% / 46% | 18% / 34% | 15% / 27% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for LI:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~17.8%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
The case against LI:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-24.4%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (-1.7%) leave little room for error.
- A rich 73.5x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (25/100).
Valuation risk — at 73.5x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-24.4%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (-1.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Li Auto Inc is a large-cap consumer discretionary business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 73.5x earnings, which our model scores Weak (25/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 32 Wall Street analysts covering LI recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-3 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
LI's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
LI — frequently asked questions
Is LI a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Li Auto Inc Weak (25/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is LI's rating on The Stocks School?
Li Auto Inc currently scores 25/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does LI's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Li Auto Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for LI calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this LI analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell LI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.