TM
Toyota Motor Corp
$180.68
▲ 1.2%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
TM at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 37/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 2.8% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$201.61B
P/E
7.82x
Forward P/E (est.)
9.54x
ROE
10.1%
Revenue Growth
5.5%
EPS Growth
-18.0%
Profit Margin
7.6%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
1.08x
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
2.9x
Current Ratio
1.26x
Dividend Yield
3.4%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
37/100
Toyota Motor Corp (TM) is a mega-cap company in the Automobiles industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $201.61B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $321.85B in revenue and $31.93B in net profit.
Our model rates TM Weak (37/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (6 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
9.7% average over the last 3 years
±1.5 pts around 9.1% across 6 years
grew in 4 of the last 5 year-over-year periods
positive in 6 of 6 years
6.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TM's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TM trades near $180.68, below its 50-day average ($182.42) and 200-day average ($205.09). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 56 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TM's is $3.70 (~2.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TM found buyers near $166.10 (support) and sellers near $181.15 (resistance); its 52-week range is $166.10–$248.90. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
15.3%
Revenue moved from $200.11B in 2020 to $321.85B in 2025, a 10.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 5.5% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
16.7%
Operating Margin
10.0%
Net Margin
9.9%
ROE
10.1%
Toyota Motor Corp keeps about 7.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 16.7% gross margin and 10.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 10.1% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$153.85B
Net Debt
$93.67B
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.92x
Debt / Equity
1.08x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.1x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.9x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $153.85B of total debt against $60.18B of cash.
Operating CF
$24.77B
Free Cash Flow
$24.77B
FCF Margin
7.7%
In the latest year Toyota Motor Corp produced about $24.77B of operating cash flow and $24.77B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
3.4%
Total paid (latest FY)
$7.59B
History on record
6 years
dividend uses 31% of free cash flow
24% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 5 years in a row
no cuts in the last 6 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
7.82x
P/S
0.59x
P/B
1.24x
EV / EBITDA
6.25x
TM trades at 7.8x trailing earnings (about 9.5x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 1.2x book value. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where TM sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How TM stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), TM ranks #66 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (7.8x P/E vs. 25.3x median) with a lower return on equity (10.1% vs. 26.2%) and slower revenue growth (5.5% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
7.8x
median 25.3x
ROE vs sector
10.1%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
5.5%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#66
of 158 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $180.68 today · expected CAGR 1% – 11%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $341.16B | $361.63B | $383.32B | $406.32B | $430.70B |
| Net income | $34.12B | $36.16B | $38.33B | $40.63B | $43.07B |
| EPS | $30.57 | $32.41 | $34.35 | $36.41 | $38.60 |
| Share price (low) | $152.87 | $162.04 | $171.76 | $182.07 | $192.99 |
| Share price (high) | $244.59 | $259.26 | $274.82 | $291.31 | $308.79 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -15% / 35% | -5% / 20% | -2% / 15% | 0% / 13% | 1% / 11% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TM:
- Pays a 3.4% dividend on top of any price gains.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against TM:
- Interest coverage is thin (2.9x), so debt costs bite.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (37/100).
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.1x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Toyota Motor Corp is a mega-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 7.8x earnings, which our model scores Weak (37/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 26 Wall Street analysts covering TM recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+4 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
TM's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
TM — frequently asked questions
Is TM a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Toyota Motor Corp Weak (37/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is TM's rating on The Stocks School?
Toyota Motor Corp currently scores 37/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does TM's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Toyota Motor Corp's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for TM calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this TM analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TM. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.