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AMZN

NASDAQ
Favorable· 64

Amazon.com, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical
Internet Retail

$232.79

4.7%

Updated Today 6:01 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 15.0% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$2.63T

P/E

29.23x

Forward P/E (est.)

21.42x

ROE

23.3%

Revenue Growth

14.2%

EPS Growth

36.5%

Profit Margin

12.2%

FCF Yield

2.7%

Debt / Equity

0.22x

ROIC

11.0%

Interest Coverage

25.13x

Current Ratio

1.18x

Dividend Yield

0.0%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

8.7%

Rating Score

64/100

Trade Setup & Technical Analysis

Institutional-style technical read — sample, educational only

Bearish
Confidence score64/100

Downtrend — price ($232.79) is below the 50-day ($257.10) and 200-day ($232.80) averages.

Setup type

Downtrend — avoid or fade rallies

Holding time

1–6 weeks

Risk level

Medium

Risk / reward

1 : 0.5

Trade levels

Entry zone

$232.79 – $242.67

Stop loss

$278.87

Target 1

$216.33

Target 2

$196.00

Target 3

$183.41

Position sizing: Scale in; risk ≤ 1% of capital, half-size to start.

Technical analysis

RSI(14) is soft (31); the MACD histogram is negative (downward momentum). Downtrend — price ($232.79) is below the 50-day ($257.10) and 200-day ($232.80) averages. ATR(14) is $8.23 (~3.5% of price), which sets the stop distance. Recent support sits near $233.59 and resistance near $274.75; the 52-week range is $196.00–$278.56.

Fundamental analysis

Revenue is growing at 14.2%, net margin near 12.2%, ROE roughly 23.3%; shares trade at 29x earnings. Quality score: 64/100.

Options flow

Live options-flow data needs a paid feed, so it isn't shown. For realized volatility, ATR of $8.23 (~3.5%/day) is the range to size stops and any option strikes around.

Volume analysis

The latest session traded 1.7× the 20-day average volume — above average, confirming participation.

Catalysts

The next quarterly earnings report is the main near-term catalyst. Technically, watch for a reclaim of $274.75 or a loss of $233.59.

Bullish scenario

AWS and advertising are high-margin businesses growing faster than retail.

Bearish scenario

Retail margins remain thin and capital-intensive.

Invalidation

A daily close above $278.87 invalidates this bearish read.

Probability-based scenario using sample data — not a recommendation or a guarantee of profit. Prioritize capital preservation, use stops, and size positions for risk. Past performance does not predict future results.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AMZN's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AMZN trades near $232.79, below its 50-day average ($257.10) and 200-day average ($232.80). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 31 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AMZN's is $8.23 (~3.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month AMZN found buyers near $233.59 (support) and sellers near $274.75 (resistance); its 52-week range is $196.00–$278.56. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.7× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Amazon pairs a dominant e-commerce and logistics network with two high-margin profit engines — AWS and advertising. After a heavy investment cycle, margins are inflecting upward as retail efficiency improves and the higher-margin segments mix up total profitability.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

11.1%

Revenue grew from $469.82B in 2021 to $716.92B in 2025, a 11.1% CAGR. The most recent year grew about 14.2% year over year, a healthy pace pointing to durable demand.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

11.2%

Net Margin

10.8%

ROE

23.3%

Gross margin runs near 50.6% with operating margin around 11.5% and net margin near 12.2%. Return on equity of roughly 23.3% indicates moderate capital efficiency, and the margin profile has trended steady over the period shown.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$122.63B

Net Debt

$20.82B

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.26x

Debt / Equity

0.22x

Interest-bearing debt is about 3.0% of market capitalization and the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.22x. Leverage is low, leaving the balance sheet well within comfortable limits.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$139.51B

Free Cash Flow

$7.70B

FCF Margin

1.1%

Operating cash flow comfortably exceeds reported net income, and free cash flow yield is around 2.7%. Cash generation is positive but partly absorbed by reinvestment and capital expenditure.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

29.23x

P/S

3.73x

P/B

5.96x

EV / EBITDA

18.3x

Shares trade at roughly 29x trailing earnings (33x forward), 3.7x sales, and 20x EV/EBITDA. That is a full but defensible multiple for a quality franchise. Our internal rating is Favorable.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
29.2xExpensive
Forward P/E
21.4xFair
P/S ratio
3.7xExpensive
Revenue growth
14.2%Strong
EPS growth
36.5%Strong
Gross margin
Net margin
12.2%Strong
ROE
23.3%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How AMZN stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), AMZN ranks #10 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (29.2x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a lower return on equity (23.3% vs. 39.2%) and faster revenue growth (14.2% vs. 6.2%).

P/E vs sector

29.2x

median 23.7x

ROE vs sector

23.3%

median 39.2%

Growth vs sector

14.2%

median 6.2%

Sector rank

#10

of 48 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
AMZNThis stock29.2x14.2%Favorable· 64
TSLA110x2.3%Weak· 24
HD23.7x2.2%Neutral· 45
MCD22.8x6.8%Favorable· 64
TJX31.3x8.1%Favorable· 58
BKNG21.6x14.9%Favorable· 68
LOW18.7x6.2%Neutral· 50
SBUX76x5.8%Weak· 29
Consumer Discretionary median23.7x6.2%54/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianTSLAHDMCDTJXBKNGLOWSBUXAMZNP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$239.96$409.35

vs. $232.79 today · expected CAGR 1%12%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$817.29B$931.71B$1.06T$1.21T$1.38T
Net income$89.90B$102.49B$116.84B$133.19B$151.84B
EPS$8.36$9.53$10.86$12.38$14.12
Share price (low)$142.08$161.97$184.64$210.49$239.96
Share price (high)$242.37$276.30$314.98$359.08$409.35
CAGR (low–high)-39% / 4%-17% / 9%-7% / 11%-2% / 11%1% / 12%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case
  • AWS and advertising are high-margin businesses growing faster than retail.
  • Operating leverage is emerging after years of logistics investment.
  • Unmatched fulfillment scale and Prime ecosystem lock-in.
Bear Case
  • Retail margins remain thin and capital-intensive.
  • AWS growth faces stiff competition from Azure and Google.
  • Heavy AI/infrastructure capex tempers near-term free cash flow.
Key Risks
Research
  • Cloud competition and pricing pressure.
  • Regulatory and labor scrutiny.
  • Consumer-spending cyclicality.
Final Investment Thesis
Research

Amazon is a margin-inflection story powered by AWS and ads; suited to long-term investors focused on the profitability inflection rather than headline revenue growth.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.