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RACE

NYSE
Neutral · 51/100

Ferrari NV

Consumer Discretionary
Automobiles

$370.72

0.2%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

RACE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 51/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 20.8% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$71.05B

P/E

40.18x

Forward P/E (est.)

39.42x

ROE

41.9%

Revenue Growth

4.7%

EPS Growth

1.9%

Profit Margin

22.2%

FCF Yield

2.6%

Debt / Equity

0.74x

ROIC

25.0%

Interest Coverage

21.27x

Current Ratio

Dividend Yield

0.9%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.0%

Rating Score

51/100

Business Overview
Research

Ferrari NV (RACE) is a large-cap company in the Automobiles industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $71.05B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $7.72B in revenue and $1.72B in net profit.

Our model rates RACE Neutral (51/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Wide moat signalsMoat evidence score: 83/100

The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.

Operating margin level75/100

28.3% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability62/100

±3.1 pts around 24.5% across 10 years

Revenue durability89/100

grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital100/100

25.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what RACE's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. RACE trades near $370.72, around its 50-day average ($348.25) and 200-day average ($372.30). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 67 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. RACE's is $10.23 (~2.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month RACE found buyers near $343.38 (support) and sellers near $389.45 (resistance); its 52-week range is $312.51–$519.10. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

13.7%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $3.35B in 2016 to $7.72B in 2025, a 9.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.7%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

51.6%

Operating Margin

29.5%

Net Margin

22.3%

ROE

41.9%

Ferrari NV keeps about 22.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 51.6% gross margin and 29.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 41.9% and return on invested capital about 25.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+

Total Debt

$3.11B

Net Debt

$1.53B

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.67x

Debt / Equity

0.74x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.7x, and operating profit covers interest about 21.3x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $3.11B of total debt against $1.59B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.54B

Free Cash Flow

$2.01B

FCF Margin

26.1%

In the latest year Ferrari NV produced about $2.54B of operating cash flow and $2.01B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.6% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

SafeSafety score: 70/100

The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.

Dividend yield

0.9%

Total paid (latest FY)

$572.08M

History on record

8 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 28% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

33% of net income paid out

Raise streak50/100

total dividends increased 4 years in a row

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 8 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

40.18x

P/S

8.99x

P/B

15.82x

EV / EBITDA

24.25x

RACE trades at 40.2x trailing earnings (about 39.4x on estimated forward earnings), 9.0x sales, and 15.8x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$194.10

Current price

$370.72

-48% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$2.01B

Growth, years 1–5

4.7%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$16.00B
PV of terminal value$19.85B
Estimated equity value$35.86B
Shares outstanding185M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where RACE sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
40.2xExpensive
Forward P/E
39.4xExpensive
P/S ratio
9.0xExpensive
Revenue growth
4.7%Average
EPS growth
1.9%Average
Gross margin
51.6%Strong
Net margin
22.2%Strong
ROE
41.9%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How RACE stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), RACE ranks #42 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (40.2x P/E vs. 25.1x median) with a higher return on equity (41.9% vs. 26.2%) and slower revenue growth (4.7% vs. 6.8%).

P/E vs sector

40.2x

median 25.1x

ROE vs sector

41.9%

median 26.2%

Growth vs sector

4.7%

median 6.8%

Sector rank

#42

of 158 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
RACEThis stock40.2x4.7%Neutral· 51
HMC0.5%Weak· 14
TM7.8x5.5%Weak· 37
STLA15.3%Neutral· 57
XPEV47.5%Weak· 39
LI73.5x-24.4%Weak· 25
NIO48.8%Weak· 30
LCIDNot rated
Consumer Discretionary median25.1x6.8%24/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianTMLIRACEP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $370.72 today · expected CAGR -6%4%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$8.10B$8.51B$8.93B$9.38B$9.85B
Net income$1.78B$1.87B$1.97B$2.06B$2.17B
EPS$9.30$9.77$10.26$10.77$11.31
Share price (low)$223.24$234.40$246.12$258.43$271.35
Share price (high)$372.07$390.67$410.21$430.72$452.25
CAGR (low–high)-40% / 0%-20% / 3%-13% / 3%-9% / 4%-6% / 4%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for RACE:

  • High net margins (22.2%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (41.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
Bear Case

The case against RACE:

  • A rich 40.2x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 40.2x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Ferrari NV is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 40.2x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (51/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 26 Wall Street analysts covering RACE recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.0 / 5 across 26 analysts
Strong Buy 7Buy 14Hold 4Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+14 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

RACE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

RACE — frequently asked questions

Is RACE a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ferrari NV Neutral (51/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is RACE's rating on The Stocks School?

Ferrari NV currently scores 51/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does RACE's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ferrari NV's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for RACE calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this RACE analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell RACE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.