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ONON

NYSE
Neutral · 57/100

On Holding AG

Consumer Discretionary
Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods

$37.29

1.0%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

ONON at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 57/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 31.4% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$12.19B

P/E

39.1x

Forward P/E (est.)

32.91x

ROE

13.5%

Revenue Growth

23.0%

EPS Growth

18.8%

Profit Margin

8.0%

FCF Yield

1.3%

Debt / Equity

0.32x

ROIC

18.0%

Interest Coverage

12.74x

Current Ratio

2.71x

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.2%

Rating Score

57/100

Business Overview
Research

On Holding AG (ONON) is a large-cap company in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $12.19B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $3.38B in revenue and $228.14M in net profit.

Our model rates ONON Neutral (57/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (7 years of history).

Wide moat signalsMoat evidence score: 72/100

The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.

Gross margin level100/100

61.0% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability60/100

±3.2 pts around 58.1% across 7 years

Revenue durability100/100

grew in 6 of the last 6 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency0/100

positive in 3 of 7 years

Return on invested capital65/100

18.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ONON's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ONON trades near $37.29, around its 50-day average ($37.04) and 200-day average ($41.20). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 45 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ONON's is $1.66 (~4.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month ONON found buyers near $34.67 (support) and sellers near $39.74 (resistance); its 52-week range is $31.41–$54.72. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

42.8%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $299.17M in 2019 to $3.38B in 2025, a 49.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 23.0% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

62.8%

Operating Margin

12.5%

Net Margin

6.8%

ROE

13.5%

On Holding AG keeps about 8.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 62.8% gross margin and 12.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 13.5% and return on invested capital about 18.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

Net Debt

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.32x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 12.7x, with a current ratio of 2.7x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
2/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$402.64M

Free Cash Flow

$320.99M

FCF Margin

9.5%

In the latest year On Holding AG produced about $402.64M of operating cash flow and $320.99M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 1.3% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

39.1x

P/S

3.25x

P/B

7.55x

EV / EBITDA

20.47x

ONON trades at 39.1x trailing earnings (about 32.9x on estimated forward earnings), 3.2x sales, and 7.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$44.77

Current price

$37.29

+20% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$320.99M

Growth, years 1–5

20.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$4.96B
PV of terminal value$8.33B
Estimated equity value$13.29B
Shares outstanding297M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where ONON sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
39.1xExpensive
Forward P/E
32.9xFair
P/S ratio
3.2xFair
Revenue growth
23.0%Strong
EPS growth
18.8%Average
Gross margin
62.8%Strong
Net margin
8.0%Average
ROE
13.5%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How ONON stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), ONON ranks #29 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (39.1x P/E vs. 25.1x median) with a lower return on equity (13.5% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (23.0% vs. 6.8%).

P/E vs sector

39.1x

median 25.1x

ROE vs sector

13.5%

median 26.2%

Growth vs sector

23.0%

median 6.8%

Sector rank

#29

of 158 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
ONONThis stock39.1x23.0%Neutral· 57
AS44.3x29.0%Favorable· 58
COLMNot rated
CROXNot rated
GIIINot rated
SHOONot rated
LI73.5x-24.4%Weak· 25
MGM64.8x3.4%Weak· 21
Consumer Discretionary median25.1x6.8%24/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianASLIMGMONONP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $37.29 today · expected CAGR 5%16%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$4.15B$5.11B$6.28B$7.73B$9.50B
Net income$290.65M$357.49M$439.72M$540.85M$665.25M
EPS$0.89$1.09$1.35$1.65$2.03
Share price (low)$20.45$25.15$30.94$38.05$46.80
Share price (high)$34.67$42.65$52.46$64.52$79.36
CAGR (low–high)-45% / -7%-18% / 7%-6% / 12%1% / 15%5% / 16%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for ONON:

  • Revenue is growing 23.0% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.3x) lowers risk.
Bear Case

The case against ONON:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 39.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: On Holding AG is a large-cap consumer discretionary business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 39.1x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (57/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 35 Wall Street analysts covering ONON recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.2 / 5 across 35 analysts
Strong Buy 13Buy 17Hold 4Sell 0Strong Sell 1

Latest SEC Filings

ONON's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

ONON — frequently asked questions

Is ONON a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates On Holding AG Neutral (57/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is ONON's rating on The Stocks School?

On Holding AG currently scores 57/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does ONON's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from On Holding AG's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for ONON calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this ONON analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ONON. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.