SAIA
Saia Inc
$431.00
▲ 0.7%Updated Jul 21, 3:42 PM ET
SAIA at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Market Cap
$0.00
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
—
Revenue Growth
—
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
10.0%
Interest Coverage
21.42x
Current Ratio
1.52x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
0/100
Saia Inc (SAIA) is a small-cap company in the Road & Rail industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500.
In its latest reported year it generated about $3.23B in revenue and $255.04M in net profit.
Our model rates SAIA Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
14.0% average over the last 3 years
±3.8 pts around 11.3% across 10 years
grew in 9 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 7 of 10 years
10.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
4Y CAGR
9.0%
Revenue moved from $1.25B in 2016 to $3.23B in 2025, a 11.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
10.9%
Net Margin
7.9%
ROE
—
Total Debt
$112.00M
Net Debt
$72.82M
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.21x
Debt / Equity
—
Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, and operating profit covers interest about 21.4x, with a current ratio of 1.5x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $112.00M of total debt against $39.18M of cash.
Operating CF
$594.97M
Free Cash Flow
$27.33M
FCF Margin
0.8%
In the latest year Saia Inc produced about $594.97M of operating cash flow and $27.33M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
—
P/S
—
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
SAIA trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$17.60
Current price
$431.00
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$27.33M
Growth, years 1–5
4.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where SAIA sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How SAIA stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), SAIA ranks #247 of 273 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 30.8x
ROE vs sector
—
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
—
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#247
of 273 by rating
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $431.00 today · expected CAGR -17% – -8%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.49B | $3.77B | $4.07B | $4.40B | $4.75B |
| Net income | $279.44M | $301.80M | $325.94M | $352.02M | $380.18M |
| EPS | $10.48 | $11.32 | $12.22 | $13.20 | $14.25 |
| Share price (low) | $125.73 | $135.79 | $146.65 | $158.38 | $171.05 |
| Share price (high) | $209.55 | $226.31 | $244.41 | $263.97 | $285.09 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -71% / -51% | -44% / -28% | -30% / -17% | -22% / -12% | -17% / -8% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for SAIA:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against SAIA:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Saia Inc is a small-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 26 Wall Street analysts covering SAIA recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
SAIA's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
SAIA — frequently asked questions
Is SAIA a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review Saia Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does SAIA's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Saia Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for SAIA calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this SAIA analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell SAIA. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.