R
Ryder System Inc
$275.16
▲ 2.8%Updated Jul 21, 3:42 PM ET
R at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 42/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 53.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$10.09B
P/E
21.34x
Forward P/E (est.)
20.35x
ROE
16.4%
Revenue Growth
-0.1%
EPS Growth
4.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
FCF Yield
17.9%
Debt / Equity
2.5x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
0.68x
Dividend Yield
1.4%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.3%
Rating Score
42/100
Ryder System Inc (R) is a large-cap company in the Road & Rail industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.09B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $12.66B in revenue and $499.00M in net profit.
Our model rates R Neutral (42/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what R's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. R trades near $275.16, above its 50-day average ($253.23) and 200-day average ($208.17). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 33 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. R's is $7.78 (~2.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month R found buyers near $256.77 (support) and sellers near $284.25 (resistance); its 52-week range is $157.67–$284.25. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
7.0%
Revenue moved from $6.76B in 2016 to $12.66B in 2025, a 7.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 0.1% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
40.7%
Operating Margin
8.0%
Net Margin
3.9%
ROE
16.4%
Ryder System Inc keeps about 3.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 40.7% gross margin and 8.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 16.4%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$7.76B
Net Debt
$7.58B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
2.5x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 2.5x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $7.76B of total debt against $182.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$2.59B
Free Cash Flow
$459.00M
FCF Margin
3.6%
In the latest year Ryder System Inc produced about $2.59B of operating cash flow and $459.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 17.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
1.4%
Per share (latest FY)
$3.44
Total paid (latest FY)
$145.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 32% of free cash flow
29% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 9 years in a row
no cuts in the last 10 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
21.34x
P/S
0.8x
P/B
2.65x
EV / EBITDA
—
R trades at 21.3x trailing earnings (about 20.4x on estimated forward earnings), 0.8x sales, and 2.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$161.58
Current price
$275.16
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$459.00M
Growth, years 1–5
-0.1%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where R sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How R stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), R ranks #108 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (21.3x P/E vs. 30.8x median) with a lower return on equity (16.4% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (-0.1% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
21.3x
median 30.8x
ROE vs sector
16.4%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
-0.1%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#108
of 273 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $275.16 today · expected CAGR -5% – 4%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.04B | $13.44B | $13.84B | $14.25B | $14.68B |
| Net income | $521.80M | $537.45M | $553.58M | $570.18M | $587.29M |
| EPS | $14.23 | $14.66 | $15.10 | $15.55 | $16.02 |
| Share price (low) | $185.03 | $190.58 | $196.30 | $202.19 | $208.25 |
| Share price (high) | $298.90 | $307.86 | $317.10 | $326.61 | $336.41 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -33% / 9% | -17% / 6% | -11% / 5% | -7% / 4% | -5% / 4% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for R:
- Strong return on equity (16.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~17.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
The case against R:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-0.1%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (3.9%) leave little room for error.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 2.5x) adds financial risk.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 2.5x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-0.1%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.9%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Ryder System Inc is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 21.3x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (42/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 16 Wall Street analysts covering R recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
R's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
R — frequently asked questions
Is R a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ryder System Inc Neutral (42/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is R's rating on The Stocks School?
Ryder System Inc currently scores 42/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does R's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ryder System Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for R calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this R analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell R. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.
