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R

NYSE
Neutral · 42/100

Ryder System Inc

Industrials
Road & Rail

$275.16

2.8%

Updated Jul 21, 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

R at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 42/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 53.2% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$10.09B

P/E

21.34x

Forward P/E (est.)

20.35x

ROE

16.4%

Revenue Growth

-0.1%

EPS Growth

4.8%

Profit Margin

3.9%

FCF Yield

17.9%

Debt / Equity

2.5x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

0.68x

Dividend Yield

1.4%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

4.3%

Rating Score

42/100

Business Overview
Research

Ryder System Inc (R) is a large-cap company in the Road & Rail industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.09B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $12.66B in revenue and $499.00M in net profit.

Our model rates R Neutral (42/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what R's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. R trades near $275.16, above its 50-day average ($253.23) and 200-day average ($208.17). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 33 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. R's is $7.78 (~2.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month R found buyers near $256.77 (support) and sellers near $284.25 (resistance); its 52-week range is $157.67–$284.25. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

7.0%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $6.76B in 2016 to $12.66B in 2025, a 7.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 0.1% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research
2/3 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%

Gross Margin

40.7%

Operating Margin

8.0%

Net Margin

3.9%

ROE

16.4%

Ryder System Inc keeps about 3.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 40.7% gross margin and 8.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 16.4%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.

Debt Analysis
Research
0/3 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityShort-term bills covered

Total Debt

$7.76B

Net Debt

$7.58B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

2.5x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 2.5x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $7.76B of total debt against $182.00M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.59B

Free Cash Flow

$459.00M

FCF Margin

3.6%

In the latest year Ryder System Inc produced about $2.59B of operating cash flow and $459.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 17.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

SafeSafety score: 100/100

The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.

Dividend yield

1.4%

Per share (latest FY)

$3.44

Total paid (latest FY)

$145.00M

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 32% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

29% of net income paid out

Raise streak100/100

total dividends increased 9 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 10 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

21.34x

P/S

0.8x

P/B

2.65x

EV / EBITDA

R trades at 21.3x trailing earnings (about 20.4x on estimated forward earnings), 0.8x sales, and 2.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$161.58

Current price

$275.16

-41% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$459.00M

Growth, years 1–5

-0.1%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$2.97B
PV of terminal value$3.28B
Estimated equity value$6.25B
Shares outstanding39M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where R sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
21.3xCheap
Forward P/E
20.4xCheap
P/S ratio
0.8xCheap
Revenue growth
-0.1%Weak
EPS growth
4.8%Average
Gross margin
40.7%Average
Net margin
3.9%Weak
ROE
16.4%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How R stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), R ranks #108 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (21.3x P/E vs. 30.8x median) with a lower return on equity (16.4% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (-0.1% vs. 6.0%).

P/E vs sector

21.3x

median 30.8x

ROE vs sector

16.4%

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

-0.1%

median 6.0%

Sector rank

#108

of 273 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
RThis stock21.3x-0.1%Neutral· 42
UHAL141.5x3.6%Weak· 24
TFII38.4x-7.3%Weak· 31
KNX1.1%Weak· 29
XPO70.2x3.6%Weak· 21
CNI22.2x0.5%Favorable· 65
CP27.1x1.1%Neutral· 56
ARCBNot rated
Industrials median30.8x6.0%22/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianUHALTFIIXPOCNICPRP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $275.16 today · expected CAGR -5%4%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$13.04B$13.44B$13.84B$14.25B$14.68B
Net income$521.80M$537.45M$553.58M$570.18M$587.29M
EPS$14.23$14.66$15.10$15.55$16.02
Share price (low)$185.03$190.58$196.30$202.19$208.25
Share price (high)$298.90$307.86$317.10$326.61$336.41
CAGR (low–high)-33% / 9%-17% / 6%-11% / 5%-7% / 4%-5% / 4%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for R:

  • Strong return on equity (16.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~17.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
Bear Case

The case against R:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-0.1%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Thin net margins (3.9%) leave little room for error.
  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 2.5x) adds financial risk.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 2.5x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-0.1%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Margin risk — thin profitability (3.9%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Ryder System Inc is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 21.3x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (42/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 16 Wall Street analysts covering R recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.1 / 5 across 16 analysts
Strong Buy 4Buy 9Hold 3Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

R's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

R — frequently asked questions

Is R a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ryder System Inc Neutral (42/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is R's rating on The Stocks School?

Ryder System Inc currently scores 42/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does R's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ryder System Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for R calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this R analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell R. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.