CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd
$91.43
▼ 0.3%Updated Jul 21, 3:42 PM ET
CP at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 56/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 8.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$80.84B
P/E
27.13x
Forward P/E (est.)
24.94x
ROE
8.8%
Revenue Growth
1.1%
EPS Growth
8.8%
Profit Margin
27.2%
FCF Yield
6.7%
Debt / Equity
0.51x
ROIC
10.0%
Interest Coverage
12.58x
Current Ratio
0.67x
Dividend Yield
0.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.9%
Rating Score
56/100
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd (CP) is a large-cap company in the Road & Rail industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $80.84B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $10.93B in revenue and $3.02B in net profit.
Our model rates CP Neutral (56/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
36.2% average over the last 3 years
±2.2 pts around 38.8% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
10.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CP's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CP trades near $91.43, above its 50-day average ($87.22) and 200-day average ($79.25). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CP's is $2.03 (~2.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month CP found buyers near $84.45 (support) and sellers near $91.52 (resistance); its 52-week range is $68.42–$91.52. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
17.3%
Revenue moved from $4.51B in 2016 to $10.93B in 2025, a 10.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (1.1%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
85.4%
Operating Margin
37.5%
Net Margin
27.7%
ROE
8.8%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd keeps about 27.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 85.4% gross margin and 37.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 8.8% and return on invested capital about 10.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.51x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 12.6x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses.
Operating CF
$3.88B
Free Cash Flow
$1.61B
FCF Margin
14.7%
In the latest year Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd produced about $3.88B of operating cash flow and $1.61B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.7% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
0.8%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.64
Total paid (latest FY)
$581.08M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 36% of free cash flow
19% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 2 years in a row
no cuts in the last 10 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
27.13x
P/S
7.34x
P/B
2x
EV / EBITDA
14.46x
CP trades at 27.1x trailing earnings (about 24.9x on estimated forward earnings), 7.3x sales, and 2.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$26.43
Current price
$91.43
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.61B
Growth, years 1–5
1.1%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where CP sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How CP stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), CP ranks #46 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (27.1x P/E vs. 30.8x median) with a lower return on equity (8.8% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (1.1% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
27.1x
median 30.8x
ROE vs sector
8.8%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
1.1%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#46
of 273 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $91.43 today · expected CAGR -7% – 3%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.26B | $11.59B | $11.94B | $12.30B | $12.67B |
| Net income | $3.15B | $3.25B | $3.34B | $3.44B | $3.55B |
| EPS | $3.56 | $3.67 | $3.78 | $3.89 | $4.01 |
| Share price (low) | $57.03 | $58.74 | $60.50 | $62.32 | $64.19 |
| Share price (high) | $96.24 | $99.13 | $102.10 | $105.16 | $108.32 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -38% / 5% | -20% / 4% | -13% / 4% | -9% / 4% | -7% / 3% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for CP:
- High net margins (27.2%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.7%) funds buybacks and dividends.
The case against CP:
- Revenue growth is slow (1.1%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (1.1%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 27.1x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (56/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 34 Wall Street analysts covering CP recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
CP's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
CP — frequently asked questions
Is CP a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd Neutral (56/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is CP's rating on The Stocks School?
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd currently scores 56/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does CP's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for CP calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this CP analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell CP. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.