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PBA

NYSE
Neutral · 49/100

Pembina Pipeline Corp

Energy
Energy

$50.38

0.7%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

PBA at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 49/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 26.5% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$28.37B

P/E

23x

Forward P/E (est.)

26.24x

ROE

10.0%

Revenue Growth

-6.5%

EPS Growth

-12.4%

Profit Margin

22.2%

FCF Yield

7.1%

Debt / Equity

0.79x

ROIC

8.0%

Interest Coverage

4.67x

Current Ratio

0.61x

Dividend Yield

4.4%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

2.4%

Rating Score

49/100

Business Overview
Research

Pembina Pipeline Corp (PBA) is a large-cap company in the Energy industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $28.37B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $5.68B in revenue and $1.24B in net profit.

Our model rates PBA Neutral (49/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (8 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 44/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Gross margin level59/100

43.6% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability21/100

±6.4 pts around 35.9% across 8 years

Revenue durability31/100

grew in 4 of the last 7 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 8 of 8 years

Return on invested capital15/100

8.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PBA's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PBA trades near $50.38, above its 50-day average ($47.09) and 200-day average ($42.29). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 42 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PBA's is $0.98 (~1.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month PBA found buyers near $45.25 (support) and sellers near $49.54 (resistance); its 52-week range is $35.45–$50.10. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

-2.6%

0/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $5.37B in 2018 to $5.68B in 2025, a 0.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 6.5% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research
2/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

41.1%

Operating Margin

36.1%

Net Margin

21.8%

ROE

10.0%

Pembina Pipeline Corp keeps about 22.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 41.1% gross margin and 36.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 10.0% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$8.08B

Net Debt

$8.00B

Net Debt / EBITDA

3.9x

Debt / Equity

0.79x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 4.7x, with a current ratio of 0.6x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $8.08B of total debt against $77.38M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.41B

Free Cash Flow

$1.84B

FCF Margin

32.4%

In the latest year Pembina Pipeline Corp produced about $2.41B of operating cash flow and $1.84B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 7.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 47/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

4.4%

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.12B

History on record

3 years

Free-cash-flow coverage65/100

dividend uses 61% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio9/100

90% of net income paid out

Raise streak25/100

total dividends increased 2 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 3 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

23x

P/S

5x

P/B

1.81x

EV / EBITDA

13.13x

PBA trades at 23.0x trailing earnings (about 26.2x on estimated forward earnings), 5.0x sales, and 1.8x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 2.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$32.45

Current price

$50.38

-36% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.84B

Growth, years 1–5

-5.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$9.63B
PV of terminal value$9.23B
Estimated equity value$18.86B
Shares outstanding581M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where PBA sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
23.0xFair
Forward P/E
26.2xExpensive
P/S ratio
5.0xExpensive
Revenue growth
-6.5%Weak
EPS growth
-12.4%Average
Gross margin
41.1%Average
Net margin
22.2%Strong
ROE
10.0%Weak

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How PBA stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), PBA ranks #34 of 57 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (23x P/E vs. 19.3x median) with a lower return on equity (10.0% vs. 13.3%) and slower revenue growth (-6.5% vs. 0.7%).

P/E vs sector

23x

median 19.3x

ROE vs sector

10.0%

median 13.3%

Growth vs sector

-6.5%

median 0.7%

Sector rank

#34

of 57 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
PBAThis stock23x-6.5%Neutral· 49
VG12.6x189.6%Strong· 76
FTI24.6x9.9%Favorable· 67
YPF2.6%Weak· 17
EC13.1x-10.2%Weak· 32
TS15.5x1.3%Favorable· 60
WDS13.6x-1.5%Neutral· 47
CCJ91.8x7.5%Neutral· 53
Energy median19.3x0.7%52/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianVGFTIECTSWDSCCJPBAP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $50.38 today · expected CAGR -7%3%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$5.85B$6.02B$6.20B$6.39B$6.58B
Net income$1.29B$1.33B$1.36B$1.41B$1.45B
EPS$2.28$2.35$2.42$2.50$2.57
Share price (low)$31.98$32.94$33.93$34.95$36.00
Share price (high)$52.54$54.12$55.74$57.41$59.14
CAGR (low–high)-37% / 4%-19% / 4%-12% / 3%-9% / 3%-7% / 3%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for PBA:

  • High net margins (22.2%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~7.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Pays a 4.4% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against PBA:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-6.5%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-6.5%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Pembina Pipeline Corp is a large-cap energy business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 23.0x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (49/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 22 Wall Street analysts covering PBA recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.7 / 5 across 22 analysts
Strong Buy 2Buy 12Hold 7Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

PBA's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

PBA — frequently asked questions

Is PBA a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Pembina Pipeline Corp Neutral (49/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is PBA's rating on The Stocks School?

Pembina Pipeline Corp currently scores 49/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does PBA's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Pembina Pipeline Corp's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for PBA calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this PBA analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell PBA. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.