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CVE

NYSE
Favorable · 58/100

Cenovus Energy Incorporation

Energy
Energy

$28.68

1.5%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

CVE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Favorable · 58/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 73.7% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$48.09B

P/E

14.07x

Forward P/E (est.)

10.05x

ROE

15.2%

Revenue Growth

-10.0%

EPS Growth

65.8%

Profit Margin

9.5%

FCF Yield

18.1%

Debt / Equity

0.45x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

1.57x

Dividend Yield

2.5%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

Rating Score

58/100

Business Overview
Research

Cenovus Energy Incorporation (CVE) is a large-cap company in the Energy industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $48.09B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $36.28B in revenue and $2.87B in net profit.

Our model rates CVE Favorable (58/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CVE's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CVE trades near $28.68, above its 50-day average ($27.94) and 200-day average ($21.86). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 18 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CVE's is $0.78 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month CVE found buyers near $24.30 (support) and sellers near $29.73 (resistance); its 52-week range is $13.86–$32.07. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

1.8%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $8.03B in 2016 to $36.28B in 2025, a 18.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 10.0% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research
2/3 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%

Gross Margin

37.5%

Operating Margin

11.8%

Net Margin

7.9%

ROE

15.2%

Cenovus Energy Incorporation keeps about 9.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 37.5% gross margin and 11.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 15.2%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityShort-term bills covered

Total Debt

$8.05B

Net Debt

$6.05B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.45x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, with a current ratio of 1.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $8.05B of total debt against $2.00B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
2/2 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%

Operating CF

$6.01B

Free Cash Flow

$6.01B

FCF Margin

16.6%

In the latest year Cenovus Energy Incorporation produced about $6.01B of operating cash flow and $6.01B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 18.1% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 55/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

2.5%

Per share (latest FY)

$0.57

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.05B

History on record

8 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 17% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

37% of net income paid out

Raise streak0/100

no current raise streak

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 8 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)

P/E

14.07x

P/S

1.31x

P/B

1.4x

EV / EBITDA

CVE trades at 14.1x trailing earnings (about 10.1x on estimated forward earnings), 1.3x sales, and 1.4x book value. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where CVE sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
14.1xFair
Forward P/E
10.1xFair
P/S ratio
1.3xFair
Revenue growth
-10.0%Weak
EPS growth
65.8%Strong
Gross margin
37.5%Average
Net margin
9.5%Average
ROE
15.2%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How CVE stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), CVE ranks #17 of 57 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (14.1x P/E vs. 19.3x median) with a higher return on equity (15.2% vs. 13.3%) and slower revenue growth (-10.0% vs. 0.7%).

P/E vs sector

14.1x

median 19.3x

ROE vs sector

15.2%

median 13.3%

Growth vs sector

-10.0%

median 0.7%

Sector rank

#17

of 57 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
CVEThis stock14.1x-10.0%Favorable· 58
LNG34.9x20.8%Neutral· 49
CCJ91.8x7.5%Neutral· 53
WDS13.6x-1.5%Neutral· 47
E14.3x15.3%Favorable· 63
SU16.5x0.9%Favorable· 58
TRP27.4x17.7%Neutral· 47
EQNR17.1x-2.4%Weak· 36
Energy median19.3x0.7%51/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianLNGCCJWDSESUTRPEQNRCVEP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $28.68 today · expected CAGR -11%-0%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$37.37B$38.49B$39.64B$40.83B$42.06B
Net income$2.99B$3.08B$3.17B$3.27B$3.36B
EPS$1.78$1.84$1.89$1.95$2.01
Share price (low)$14.26$14.69$15.13$15.58$16.05
Share price (high)$24.96$25.71$26.48$27.27$28.09
CAGR (low–high)-50% / -13%-28% / -5%-19% / -3%-14% / -1%-11% / -0%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for CVE:

  • Strong return on equity (15.2%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~18.1%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
  • Pays a 2.5% dividend on top of any price gains.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (58/100).
Bear Case

The case against CVE:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-10.0%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-10.0%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Cenovus Energy Incorporation is a large-cap energy business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 14.1x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (58/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 20 Wall Street analysts covering CVE recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.0 / 5 across 20 analysts
Strong Buy 4Buy 13Hold 2Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

CVE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

CVE — frequently asked questions

Is CVE a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Cenovus Energy Incorporation Favorable (58/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is CVE's rating on The Stocks School?

Cenovus Energy Incorporation currently scores 58/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does CVE's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Cenovus Energy Incorporation's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for CVE calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this CVE analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell CVE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.