YPF
YPF SA
$51.27
▲ 1.6%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
YPF at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 17/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 42.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$30.35B
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
-7.0%
Revenue Growth
2.6%
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
-5.8%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
1.03x
ROIC
7.0%
Interest Coverage
2.57x
Current Ratio
0.87x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
17/100
YPF SA (YPF) is a large-cap company in the Energy industry, part of the Energy sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $30.35B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $18.45B in revenue and posted a net loss of $826.00M.
Our model rates YPF Weak (17/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (6 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
25.2% average over the last 3 years
±6.1 pts around 22.6% across 6 years
grew in 3 of the last 5 year-over-year periods
positive in 5 of 6 years
7.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what YPF's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. YPF trades near $51.27, above its 50-day average ($48.01) and 200-day average ($38.68). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 14 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. YPF's is $1.79 (~3.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month YPF found buyers near $44.02 (support) and sellers near $57.49 (resistance); its 52-week range is $22.82–$57.49. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
7.8%
Revenue moved from $9.69B in 2020 to $18.45B in 2025, a 13.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (2.6%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
27.6%
Operating Margin
9.4%
Net Margin
-4.5%
ROE
-7.0%
YPF SA keeps about -5.8% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 27.6% gross margin and 9.4% operating margin. Return on equity is -7.0% and return on invested capital about 7.0%. The company is currently unprofitable on a net basis.
Total Debt
$8.23B
Net Debt
$7.29B
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.19x
Debt / Equity
1.03x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.6x, with a current ratio of 0.9x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $8.23B of total debt against $933.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$4.96B
Free Cash Flow
-$118.00M
FCF Margin
-0.6%
In the latest year YPF SA produced about $4.96B of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
—
P/S
1.19x
P/B
1.42x
EV / EBITDA
—
YPF trades at n/a trailing earnings, 1.2x sales, and 1.4x book value. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
Where YPF sits versus its Energy sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 47 Energy companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How YPF stacks up against its Energy peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Energy sector (57 S&P 500 companies), YPF ranks #47 of 57 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 19.3x
ROE vs sector
-7.0%
median 13.3%
Growth vs sector
2.6%
median 0.7%
Sector rank
#47
of 57 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Energy companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 57 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $51.27 today · expected CAGR -24% – -16%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.00B | $19.57B | $20.16B | $20.76B | $21.39B |
| Net income | $570.04M | $587.14M | $604.76M | $622.90M | $641.59M |
| EPS | $0.96 | $0.99 | $1.02 | $1.05 | $1.08 |
| Share price (low) | $11.55 | $11.90 | $12.26 | $12.63 | $13.01 |
| Share price (high) | $19.26 | $19.84 | $20.43 | $21.04 | $21.68 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -77% / -62% | -52% / -38% | -38% / -26% | -30% / -20% | -24% / -16% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for YPF:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Energy, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against YPF:
- Revenue growth is slow (2.6%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (-5.8%) leave little room for error.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.6x), so debt costs bite.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (17/100).
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (2.6%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (-5.8%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: YPF SA is a large-cap energy business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Weak (17/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 12 Wall Street analysts covering YPF recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
YPF's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
YPF — frequently asked questions
Is YPF a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates YPF SA Weak (17/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is YPF's rating on The Stocks School?
YPF SA currently scores 17/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does YPF's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from YPF SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for YPF calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this YPF analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell YPF. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.