GFI Gold Fields Ltd
$37.32
▲ 0.6%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
GFI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Strong · 91/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 43.0% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$28.98B
P/E
8.87x
Forward P/E (est.)
6.34x
ROE
49.1%
Revenue Growth
135.1%
EPS Growth
186.4%
Profit Margin
29.1%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0.38x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.01x
Dividend Yield
4.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
7.4%
Rating Score
91/100
Business Overview
Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Metals & Mining industry, within the Materials sector, with a market value around $28.98B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $5.20B in revenue and $1.25B in net profit.
Our model rates GFI Strong (91/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what GFI's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. GFI trades near $37.32, below its 50-day average ($39.33) and 200-day average ($44.16). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 44 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. GFI's is $1.92 (~5.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, GFI found buyers near $31.35 (support) and sellers near $41.27 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $23.24–$61.64. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
7.5%
Revenue moved from $2.67B in 2016 to $5.20B in 2024, a 8.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 135.1% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
41.5%
Operating Margin
48.7%
Net Margin
23.9%
ROE
49.1%
Gold Fields Ltd keeps about 29.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 41.5% gross margin and 48.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 49.1%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$1.78B
Net Debt
$916.30M
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $1.78B of total debt against $860.20M of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$1.61B
Free Cash Flow
$423.60M
FCF Margin
8.1%
In the latest year Gold Fields Ltd produced about $1.61B of operating cash flow and $423.60M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockCoverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
4.3%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.39
Total paid (latest FY)
$350.90M
History on record
9 years
dividend uses 83% of free cash flow
28% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 9 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
8.87x
P/S
3.61x
P/B
4.86x
EV / EBITDA
—
GFI trades at 8.9x trailing earnings (about 6.3x on estimated forward earnings), 3.6x sales, and 4.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$19.60
Current price
$37.32
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$423.60M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where GFI sits versus the Materials companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How GFI stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 54 rated Materials companies we cover, GFI ranks #4 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (8.9x P/E vs. 20.1x median) with a higher return on equity (49.1% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (135.1% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
8.9x
median 20.1x
ROE vs sector
49.1%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
135.1%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#4
of 54 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 54 rated companies among the 78 Materials stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$51.53 – $92.76
vs. $37.32 today · implied CAGR 7% – 20%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.54B | $10.94B | $15.86B | $22.99B | $33.34B |
| Net income | $1.81B | $2.62B | $3.81B | $5.52B | $8.00B |
| EPS | $2.33 | $3.38 | $4.90 | $7.11 | $10.31 |
| Share price (low) | $11.66 | $16.90 | $24.51 | $35.54 | $51.53 |
| Share price (high) | $20.98 | $30.43 | $44.12 | $63.97 | $92.76 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -69% / -44% | -33% / -10% | -13% / 6% | -1% / 14% | 7% / 20% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for GFI:
- Revenue is growing 135.1% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (29.1%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (49.1%) shows capital is put to work well.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 4.3% dividend on top of any price gains.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (91/100).
Bear Case
The case against GFI:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Gold Fields Ltd is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 8.9x earnings, which our model scores Strong (91/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 14 Wall Street analysts covering GFI recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
GFI's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
GFI — frequently asked questions
Is GFI a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Gold Fields Ltd Strong (91/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is GFI's rating on The Stocks School?
Gold Fields Ltd currently scores 91/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does GFI's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Gold Fields Ltd's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for GFI calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this GFI analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell GFI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.