MT ArcelorMittal SA
$62.89
▼ 1.1%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
MT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Favorable · 70/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 100.0% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$47.07B
P/E
16.11x
Forward P/E (est.)
11.51x
ROE
5.3%
Revenue Growth
77.8%
EPS Growth
148.6%
Profit Margin
2.7%
FCF Yield
11.2%
Debt / Equity
0.25x
ROIC
4.0%
Interest Coverage
6.29x
Current Ratio
1.36x
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
7.9%
Rating Score
70/100
Business Overview
ArcelorMittal SA (MT) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Metals & Mining industry, within the Materials sector, with a market value around $47.07B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $61.35B in revenue and $3.15B in net profit.
Our model rates MT Favorable (70/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
7.8% average over the last 3 years
±5.8 pts around 10.9% across 10 years
grew in 4 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
4.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MT's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MT trades near $62.89, around its 50-day average ($63.65) and 200-day average ($52.20). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 36 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MT's is $2.08 (~3.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, MT found buyers near $58.53 (support) and sellers near $71.53 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $30.17–$72.50. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
-5.4%
Revenue moved from $56.79B in 2016 to $61.35B in 2025, a 0.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 77.8% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
7.1%
Operating Margin
5.9%
Net Margin
5.1%
ROE
5.3%
ArcelorMittal SA keeps about 2.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 7.1% gross margin and 5.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 5.3% and return on invested capital about 4.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$10.67B
Net Debt
$5.28B
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.46x
Debt / Equity
0.25x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 6.3x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $10.67B of total debt against $5.39B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$4.81B
Free Cash Flow
$471.00M
FCF Margin
0.8%
In the latest year ArcelorMittal SA produced about $4.81B of operating cash flow and $471.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 11.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockCoverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
0.9%
Total paid (latest FY)
$542.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 115% of free cash flow
17% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
16.11x
P/S
0.77x
P/B
0.61x
EV / EBITDA
7.96x
MT trades at 16.1x trailing earnings (about 11.5x on estimated forward earnings), 0.8x sales, and 0.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$25.63
Current price
$62.89
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$471.00M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where MT sits versus the Materials companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How MT stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 54 rated Materials companies we cover, MT ranks #17 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (16.1x P/E vs. 20.1x median) with a lower return on equity (5.3% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (77.8% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
16.1x
median 20.1x
ROE vs sector
5.3%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
77.8%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#17
of 54 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 54 rated companies among the 78 Materials stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$262.69 – $420.30
vs. $62.89 today · implied CAGR 33% – 46%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $88.96B | $128.99B | $187.04B | $271.21B | $393.25B |
| Net income | $4.45B | $6.45B | $9.35B | $13.56B | $19.66B |
| EPS | $5.94 | $8.62 | $12.49 | $18.12 | $26.27 |
| Share price (low) | $59.42 | $86.17 | $124.94 | $181.16 | $262.69 |
| Share price (high) | $95.08 | $137.86 | $199.90 | $289.86 | $420.30 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -6% / 51% | 17% / 48% | 26% / 47% | 30% / 47% | 33% / 46% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for MT:
- Revenue is growing 77.8% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~11.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (70/100).
Bear Case
The case against MT:
- Thin net margins (2.7%) leave little room for error.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Margin risk — thin profitability (2.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: ArcelorMittal SA is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 16.1x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (70/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Latest SEC Filings
MT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
MT — frequently asked questions
Is MT a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates ArcelorMittal SA Favorable (70/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is MT's rating on The Stocks School?
ArcelorMittal SA currently scores 70/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does MT's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from ArcelorMittal SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for MT calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this MT analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.