MT
ArcelorMittal SA
$65.89
▲ 0.1%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
MT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Favorable · 70/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 100.0% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$47.07B
P/E
16.11x
Forward P/E (est.)
11.51x
ROE
5.3%
Revenue Growth
77.8%
EPS Growth
148.6%
Profit Margin
2.7%
FCF Yield
11.2%
Debt / Equity
0.25x
ROIC
4.0%
Interest Coverage
6.29x
Current Ratio
1.36x
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
7.9%
Rating Score
70/100
ArcelorMittal SA (MT) is a large-cap company in the Metals & Mining industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $47.07B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $61.35B in revenue and $3.15B in net profit.
Our model rates MT Favorable (70/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
7.8% average over the last 3 years
±5.8 pts around 10.9% across 10 years
grew in 4 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
4.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what MT's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. MT trades near $65.89, above its 50-day average ($63.65) and 200-day average ($52.20). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 36 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. MT's is $2.08 (~3.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month MT found buyers near $58.53 (support) and sellers near $71.53 (resistance); its 52-week range is $30.17–$72.50. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-5.4%
Revenue moved from $56.79B in 2016 to $61.35B in 2025, a 0.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 77.8% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
7.1%
Operating Margin
5.9%
Net Margin
5.1%
ROE
5.3%
ArcelorMittal SA keeps about 2.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 7.1% gross margin and 5.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 5.3% and return on invested capital about 4.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$10.67B
Net Debt
$5.28B
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.46x
Debt / Equity
0.25x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 6.3x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $10.67B of total debt against $5.39B of cash.
Operating CF
$4.81B
Free Cash Flow
$471.00M
FCF Margin
0.8%
In the latest year ArcelorMittal SA produced about $4.81B of operating cash flow and $471.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 11.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
0.9%
Total paid (latest FY)
$542.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 115% of free cash flow
17% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
16.11x
P/S
0.77x
P/B
0.61x
EV / EBITDA
7.96x
MT trades at 16.1x trailing earnings (about 11.5x on estimated forward earnings), 0.8x sales, and 0.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$25.63
Current price
$65.89
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$471.00M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where MT sits versus its Materials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How MT stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (78 S&P 500 companies), MT ranks #17 of 78 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (16.1x P/E vs. 21.2x median) with a lower return on equity (5.3% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (77.8% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
16.1x
median 21.2x
ROE vs sector
5.3%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
77.8%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#17
of 78 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 78 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $65.89 today · expected CAGR 33% – 46%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $88.96B | $128.99B | $187.04B | $271.21B | $393.25B |
| Net income | $4.45B | $6.45B | $9.35B | $13.56B | $19.66B |
| EPS | $6.23 | $9.03 | $13.09 | $18.98 | $27.52 |
| Share price (low) | $62.26 | $90.28 | $130.90 | $189.80 | $275.22 |
| Share price (high) | $99.61 | $144.44 | $209.44 | $303.69 | $440.35 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -6% / 51% | 17% / 48% | 26% / 47% | 30% / 47% | 33% / 46% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for MT:
- Revenue is growing 77.8% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~11.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (70/100).
The case against MT:
- Thin net margins (2.7%) leave little room for error.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Margin risk — thin profitability (2.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: ArcelorMittal SA is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 16.1x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (70/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 25 Wall Street analysts covering MT recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
MT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
MT — frequently asked questions
Is MT a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates ArcelorMittal SA Favorable (70/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is MT's rating on The Stocks School?
ArcelorMittal SA currently scores 70/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does MT's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from ArcelorMittal SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for MT calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this MT analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.