VALE
Vale SA
$14.25
▲ 1.1%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
VALE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 39/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 47.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$65.74B
P/E
19.68x
Forward P/E (est.)
28.12x
ROE
7.7%
Revenue Growth
1.6%
EPS Growth
-56.8%
Profit Margin
7.3%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0.56x
ROIC
10.0%
Interest Coverage
4.5x
Current Ratio
1.15x
Dividend Yield
7.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
39/100
Vale SA (VALE) is a large-cap company in the Metals & Mining industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $65.74B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $38.40B in revenue and $2.35B in net profit.
Our model rates VALE Weak (39/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
37.9% average over the last 3 years
±8.2 pts around 43.5% across 10 years
grew in 5 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 6 of 6 years
10.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what VALE's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. VALE trades near $14.25, below its 50-day average ($15.99) and 200-day average ($14.47). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 39 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. VALE's is $0.38 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month VALE found buyers near $14.76 (support) and sellers near $16.36 (resistance); its 52-week range is $9.36–$17.94. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-8.4%
Revenue moved from $27.49B in 2016 to $38.40B in 2025, a 3.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (1.6%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
35.0%
Operating Margin
15.4%
Net Margin
6.1%
ROE
7.7%
Vale SA keeps about 7.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 35.0% gross margin and 15.4% operating margin. Return on equity is 7.7% and return on invested capital about 10.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$11.15B
Net Debt
$3.78B
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.64x
Debt / Equity
0.56x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 4.5x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $11.15B of total debt against $7.37B of cash.
Operating CF
—
Free Cash Flow
—
FCF Margin
—
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
7.8%
Total paid (latest FY)
$3.56B
History on record
9 years
151% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 9 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
19.68x
P/S
1.54x
P/B
1.56x
EV / EBITDA
7.89x
VALE trades at 19.7x trailing earnings (about 28.1x on estimated forward earnings), 1.5x sales, and 1.6x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where VALE sits versus its Materials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How VALE stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (78 S&P 500 companies), VALE ranks #45 of 78 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (19.7x P/E vs. 21.2x median) with a lower return on equity (7.7% vs. 16.1%) and slower revenue growth (1.6% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
19.7x
median 21.2x
ROE vs sector
7.7%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
1.6%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#45
of 78 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 78 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $14.25 today · expected CAGR -13% – -4%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $39.56B | $40.74B | $41.96B | $43.22B | $44.52B |
| Net income | $2.37B | $2.44B | $2.52B | $2.59B | $2.67B |
| EPS | $0.51 | $0.53 | $0.55 | $0.56 | $0.58 |
| Share price (low) | $6.17 | $6.36 | $6.55 | $6.75 | $6.95 |
| Share price (high) | $10.29 | $10.60 | $10.92 | $11.24 | $11.58 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -57% / -28% | -33% / -14% | -23% / -9% | -17% / -6% | -13% / -4% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for VALE:
- Pays a 7.8% dividend on top of any price gains.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Materials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against VALE:
- Revenue growth is slow (1.6%), limiting the upside engine.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (39/100).
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (1.6%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Vale SA is a large-cap materials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 19.7x earnings, which our model scores Weak (39/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 23 Wall Street analysts covering VALE recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+4 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
VALE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
VALE — frequently asked questions
Is VALE a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Vale SA Weak (39/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is VALE's rating on The Stocks School?
Vale SA currently scores 39/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does VALE's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Vale SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for VALE calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this VALE analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell VALE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.