AGI
Alamos Gold Inc
$29.47
▲ 4.6%Updated Today 12:18 PM ET
AGI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Strong · 91/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 15.7% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$14.19B
P/E
12.49x
Forward P/E (est.)
8.92x
ROE
25.2%
Revenue Growth
47.8%
EPS Growth
305.7%
Profit Margin
51.2%
FCF Yield
4.4%
Debt / Equity
0.05x
ROIC
19.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
2x
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.8%
Rating Score
91/100
Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) is a large-cap company in the Metals & Mining industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $14.19B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $1.81B in revenue and $885.80M in net profit.
Our model rates AGI Strong (91/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
44.5% average over the last 3 years
±19.2 pts around 22.7% across 9 years
grew in 7 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 6 of 9 years
19.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AGI's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AGI trades near $29.47, below its 50-day average ($37.90) and 200-day average ($39.27). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 37 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AGI's is $2.02 (~6.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month AGI found buyers near $29.49 (support) and sellers near $39.56 (resistance); its 52-week range is $23.92–$55.41. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
21.7%
Revenue moved from $542.80M in 2017 to $1.81B in 2025, a 16.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 47.8% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
60.4%
Operating Margin
60.7%
Net Margin
49.0%
ROE
25.2%
Alamos Gold Inc keeps about 51.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 60.4% gross margin and 60.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 25.2% and return on invested capital about 19.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$200.00M
Net Debt
-$423.10M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.39x
Debt / Equity
0.05x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.1x, with a current ratio of 2.0x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $200.00M of total debt against $623.10M of cash.
Operating CF
$795.30M
Free Cash Flow
$288.20M
FCF Margin
15.9%
In the latest year Alamos Gold Inc produced about $795.30M of operating cash flow and $288.20M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
0.3%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.01
Total paid (latest FY)
$39.50M
History on record
9 years
dividend uses 14% of free cash flow
4% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
no cuts in the last 9 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
12.49x
P/S
7.33x
P/B
3.56x
EV / EBITDA
—
AGI trades at 12.5x trailing earnings (about 8.9x on estimated forward earnings), 7.3x sales, and 3.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$28.43
Current price
$29.47
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$288.20M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where AGI sits versus its Materials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How AGI stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (78 S&P 500 companies), AGI ranks #3 of 78 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (12.5x P/E vs. 21.2x median) with a higher return on equity (25.2% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (47.8% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
12.5x
median 21.2x
ROE vs sector
25.2%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
47.8%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#3
of 78 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 78 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $29.47 today · expected CAGR 23% – 37%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.62B | $3.80B | $5.51B | $8.00B | $11.59B |
| Net income | $1.29B | $1.86B | $2.70B | $3.92B | $5.68B |
| EPS | $2.67 | $3.87 | $5.61 | $8.13 | $11.79 |
| Share price (low) | $18.68 | $27.08 | $39.27 | $56.94 | $82.56 |
| Share price (high) | $32.02 | $46.43 | $67.32 | $97.61 | $141.54 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -37% / 9% | -4% / 26% | 10% / 32% | 18% / 35% | 23% / 37% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AGI:
- Revenue is growing 47.8% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (51.2%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (25.2%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.1x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (91/100).
The case against AGI:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Alamos Gold Inc is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 12.5x earnings, which our model scores Strong (91/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 15 Wall Street analysts covering AGI recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
AGI's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
AGI — frequently asked questions
Is AGI a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Alamos Gold Inc Strong (91/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is AGI's rating on The Stocks School?
Alamos Gold Inc currently scores 91/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does AGI's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Alamos Gold Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for AGI calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this AGI analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AGI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.