PAAS Pan American Silver Corp
$43.86
▲ 0.2%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
PAAS at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Strong · 85/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 53.8% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$20.89B
P/E
15.41x
Forward P/E (est.)
11.01x
ROE
19.5%
Revenue Growth
33.7%
EPS Growth
263.1%
Profit Margin
31.6%
FCF Yield
2.3%
Debt / Equity
0.12x
ROIC
13.0%
Interest Coverage
22.42x
Current Ratio
2.69x
Dividend Yield
0.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.9%
Rating Score
85/100
Business Overview
Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Metals & Mining industry, within the Materials sector, with a market value around $20.89B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $3.62B in revenue and $980.00M in net profit.
Our model rates PAAS Strong (85/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
23.7% average over the last 3 years
±9.1 pts around 20.0% across 10 years
grew in 6 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 10 years
13.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PAAS's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PAAS trades near $43.86, below its 50-day average ($52.05) and 200-day average ($50.12). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PAAS's is $2.36 (~5.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, PAAS found buyers near $43.73 (support) and sellers near $53.99 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $26.77–$69.99. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
22.0%
Revenue moved from $774.77M in 2016 to $3.62B in 2025, a 18.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 33.7% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
38.8%
Operating Margin
34.1%
Net Margin
27.1%
ROE
19.5%
Pan American Silver Corp keeps about 31.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 38.8% gross margin and 34.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 19.5% and return on invested capital about 13.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$709.00M
Net Debt
-$506.00M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.41x
Debt / Equity
0.12x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.1x, and operating profit covers interest about 22.4x, with a current ratio of 2.7x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $709.00M of total debt against $1.22B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$1.33B
Free Cash Flow
$1.02B
FCF Margin
28.2%
In the latest year Pan American Silver Corp produced about $1.33B of operating cash flow and $1.02B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.3% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockThe payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
0.8%
Total paid (latest FY)
$175.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 17% of free cash flow
18% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 9 years in a row
no cuts in the last 10 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
15.41x
P/S
5.38x
P/B
3.06x
EV / EBITDA
11.78x
PAAS trades at 15.4x trailing earnings (about 11.0x on estimated forward earnings), 5.4x sales, and 3.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$100.03
Current price
$43.86
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.02B
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where PAAS sits versus the Materials companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How PAAS stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 54 rated Materials companies we cover, PAAS ranks #10 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (15.4x P/E vs. 20.1x median) with a higher return on equity (19.5% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (33.7% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
15.4x
median 20.1x
ROE vs sector
19.5%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
33.7%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#10
of 54 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 54 rated companies among the 78 Materials stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$79.77 – $132.95
vs. $43.86 today · implied CAGR 13% – 25%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.85B | $6.50B | $8.71B | $11.67B | $15.64B |
| Net income | $1.31B | $1.75B | $2.35B | $3.15B | $4.22B |
| EPS | $2.75 | $3.68 | $4.94 | $6.61 | $8.86 |
| Share price (low) | $24.74 | $33.15 | $44.42 | $59.53 | $79.77 |
| Share price (high) | $41.23 | $55.25 | $74.04 | $99.21 | $132.95 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -44% / -6% | -13% / 12% | 0% / 19% | 8% / 23% | 13% / 25% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for PAAS:
- Revenue is growing 33.7% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (31.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (19.5%) shows capital is put to work well.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.1x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (85/100).
Bear Case
The case against PAAS:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Pan American Silver Corp is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 15.4x earnings, which our model scores Strong (85/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Latest SEC Filings
PAAS's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
PAAS — frequently asked questions
Is PAAS a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Pan American Silver Corp Strong (85/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is PAAS's rating on The Stocks School?
Pan American Silver Corp currently scores 85/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does PAAS's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Pan American Silver Corp's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for PAAS calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this PAAS analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell PAAS. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.