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CSX

S&P 500
Neutral · 47/100

CSX Corporation

Industrials
Rail Transportation

$46.20

1.2%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 41.5% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$84.79B

P/E

27.8x

Forward P/E (est.)

28.53x

ROE

23.5%

Revenue Growth

-0.9%

EPS Growth

-2.6%

Profit Margin

21.6%

FCF Yield

5.7%

Debt / Equity

1.43x

ROIC

20.0%

Interest Coverage

8.28x

Current Ratio

0.97x

Dividend Yield

1.2%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.8%

Rating Score

47/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CSX's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CSX trades near $46.20, above its 50-day average ($45.25) and 200-day average ($39.08). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 53 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CSX's is $1.04 (~2.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month CSX found buyers near $44.79 (support) and sellers near $48.03 (resistance); its 52-week range is $31.80–$48.03. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.7× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

CSX Corporation (CSX) is a large-cap company in the Rail Transportation industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $84.79B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $14.09B in revenue and $2.89B in net profit.

Our model rates CSX Neutral (47/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

3.0%

Revenue moved from $12.52B in 2021 to $14.09B in 2025, a 3.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 0.9% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

71.5%

Operating Margin

32.1%

Net Margin

20.5%

ROE

23.5%

CSX Corporation keeps about 21.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 71.5% gross margin and 32.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 23.5% and return on invested capital about 20.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$9.83B

Net Debt

$7.87B

Net Debt / EBITDA

1.74x

Debt / Equity

1.43x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 8.3x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $9.83B of total debt against $1.96B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$4.61B

Free Cash Flow

$1.71B

FCF Margin

12.1%

In the latest year CSX Corporation produced about $4.61B of operating cash flow and $1.71B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.7% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

27.8x

P/S

6.18x

P/B

4.99x

EV / EBITDA

15.32x

CSX trades at 27.8x trailing earnings (about 28.5x on estimated forward earnings), 6.2x sales, and 5.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
27.8xExpensive
Forward P/E
28.5xExpensive
P/S ratio
6.2xExpensive
Revenue growth
-0.9%Weak
EPS growth
-2.6%Weak
Gross margin
71.5%Strong
Net margin
21.6%Strong
ROE
23.5%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How CSX stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Industrials sector (80 S&P 500 companies), CSX ranks #52 of 80 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (27.8x P/E vs. 30x median) with a lower return on equity (23.5% vs. 24.7%) and slower revenue growth (-0.9% vs. 5.0%).

P/E vs sector

27.8x

median 30x

ROE vs sector

23.5%

median 24.7%

Growth vs sector

-0.9%

median 5.0%

Sector rank

#52

of 80 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
CSXThis stock27.8x-0.9%Neutral· 47
NSC25.1x0.6%Neutral· 45
UNP20.5x1.9%Favorable· 63
EMR35x4.0%Neutral· 45
MMM30x2.1%Weak· 33
ADP20x6.9%Favorable· 61
WM30.6x10.9%Neutral· 48
JCI25x-3.4%Neutral· 55
Industrials median30x5.0%52/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianNSCUNPEMRMMMADPWMJCICSXP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 80 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$31.39$51.70

vs. $46.20 today · expected CAGR -7%2%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$14.51B$14.95B$15.40B$15.86B$16.34B
Net income$3.05B$3.14B$3.23B$3.33B$3.43B
EPS$1.64$1.69$1.74$1.79$1.85
Share price (low)$27.89$28.72$29.59$30.47$31.39
Share price (high)$45.93$47.31$48.73$50.19$51.70
CAGR (low–high)-40% / -1%-21% / 1%-14% / 2%-10% / 2%-7% / 2%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for CSX:

  • High net margins (21.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (23.5%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.7%) funds buybacks and dividends.
Bear Case

The case against CSX:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-0.9%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.4x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-0.9%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: CSX Corporation is a large-cap industrials business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 27.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (47/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.