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AFRM

NASDAQ

Affirm Holdings Inc

Financials
Financial Services
Earnings Aug 26 · after the close

$74.29

1.4%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

AFRM at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
Growth
Profitability
0
Health
Dividends
0

Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Key Metrics

Market Cap

$0.00

P/E

Forward P/E (est.)

ROE

Revenue Growth

EPS Growth

Profit Margin

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

ROIC

-1.0%

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

Dividend Yield

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

Rating Score

0/100

Business Overview
Research

Affirm Holdings Inc (AFRM) is a small-cap company in the Financial Services industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500.

In its latest reported year it generated about $1.11B in revenue and $52.19M in net profit.

Our model rates AFRM Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (7 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 25/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Operating margin level0/100

-91.3% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability0/100

±58.6 pts around -92.6% across 7 years

Revenue durability100/100

grew in 6 of the last 6 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency0/100

positive in 2 of 7 years

Return on invested capital0/100

-1.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

26.9%

Revenue moved from $140.27M in 2019 to $1.11B in 2025, a 41.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
0/1 checks passedROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

-7.8%

Net Margin

4.7%

ROE

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$8.87B

Net Debt

$7.15B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $8.87B of total debt against $1.72B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$793.91M

Free Cash Flow

$601.72M

FCF Margin

54.0%

In the latest year Affirm Holdings Inc produced about $793.91M of operating cash flow and $601.72M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research
1/1 checks passedTrading below DCF fair value

P/E

P/S

P/B

EV / EBITDA

AFRM trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$174.39

Current price

$74.29

+135% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$601.72M

Growth, years 1–5

4.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$4.65B
PV of terminal value$5.68B
Estimated equity value$10.33B
Shares outstanding59M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where AFRM sits versus its Financials sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
Forward P/E
P/S ratio
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Gross margin
Net margin
ROE

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 141 Financials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How AFRM stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Financials sector (289 S&P 500 companies), AFRM ranks #142 of 289 by our overall rating.

P/E vs sector

median 15.3x

ROE vs sector

median 13.6%

Growth vs sector

median 15.9%

Sector rank

#142

of 289 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
AFRMThis stockNot rated
ACTNot rated
ARCCNot rated
ATLCNot rated
BGCNot rated
BULLNot rated
CACCNot rated
CGNot rated
Financials median15.3x15.9%0/100
Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 289 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $74.29 today · expected CAGR -26%-18%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$1.20B$1.30B$1.40B$1.52B$1.64B
Net income$60.15M$64.97M$70.16M$75.78M$81.84M
EPS$1.02$1.10$1.18$1.28$1.38
Share price (low)$12.19$13.16$14.21$15.35$16.58
Share price (high)$20.31$21.93$23.69$25.58$27.63
CAGR (low–high)-84% / -73%-58% / -46%-42% / -32%-33% / -23%-26% / -18%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for AFRM:

  • As an established S&P 500 member in Financials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
Bear Case

The case against AFRM:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Affirm Holdings Inc is a small-cap financials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 39 Wall Street analysts covering AFRM recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.0 / 5 across 39 analysts
Strong Buy 8Buy 21Hold 10Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

AFRM's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

AFRM — frequently asked questions

Is AFRM a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Review Affirm Holdings Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.

Where does AFRM's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Affirm Holdings Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for AFRM calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this AFRM analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AFRM. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.