OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc
$9.41
▲ 0.6%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
OWL at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 36/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 51.6% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$14.09B
P/E
162.1x
Forward P/E (est.)
161.73x
ROE
3.9%
Revenue Growth
19.3%
EPS Growth
0.2%
Profit Margin
3.0%
FCF Yield
10.4%
Debt / Equity
1.51x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
11.78x
Dividend Yield
10.2%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
0.5%
Rating Score
36/100
Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) is a large-cap company in the Financial Services industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $14.09B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $2.87B in revenue and $78.83M in net profit.
Our model rates OWL Weak (36/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what OWL's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. OWL trades near $9.41, below its 50-day average ($9.61) and 200-day average ($12.67). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 46 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. OWL's is $0.45 (~4.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month OWL found buyers near $8.31 (support) and sellers near $10.17 (resistance); its 52-week range is $7.95–$21.08. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
36.6%
Revenue moved from $190.85M in 2019 to $2.87B in 2025, a 57.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 19.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
16.6%
Net Margin
2.7%
ROE
3.9%
Blue Owl Capital Inc keeps about 3.0% of each sales dollar as net profit. Return on equity is 3.9%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$3.83B
Net Debt
$3.64B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
1.51x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.5x, with a current ratio of 11.8x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $3.83B of total debt against $190.46M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.26B
Free Cash Flow
$1.20B
FCF Margin
41.7%
In the latest year Blue Owl Capital Inc produced about $1.26B of operating cash flow and $1.20B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 10.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
10.2%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.85
Total paid (latest FY)
$546.66M
History on record
5 years
dividend uses 46% of free cash flow
693% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 4 years in a row
no cuts in the last 5 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
162.1x
P/S
4.91x
P/B
10.57x
EV / EBITDA
—
OWL trades at 162.1x trailing earnings (about 161.7x on estimated forward earnings), 4.9x sales, and 10.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 0.5% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$6,938.24
Current price
$9.41
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.20B
Growth, years 1–5
19.3%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where OWL sits versus its Financials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 141 Financials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How OWL stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Financials sector (289 S&P 500 companies), OWL ranks #133 of 289 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (162.1x P/E vs. 15.3x median) with a lower return on equity (3.9% vs. 13.6%) and faster revenue growth (19.3% vs. 15.9%).
P/E vs sector
162.1x
median 15.3x
ROE vs sector
3.9%
median 13.6%
Growth vs sector
19.3%
median 15.9%
Sector rank
#133
of 289 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 289 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $9.41 today · expected CAGR 7% – 19%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.42B | $4.06B | $4.84B | $5.76B | $6.85B |
| Net income | $102.47M | $121.93M | $145.10M | $172.67M | $205.48M |
| EPS | $0.07 | $0.08 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.14 |
| Share price (low) | $6.64 | $7.90 | $9.40 | $11.18 | $13.31 |
| Share price (high) | $11.08 | $13.19 | $15.69 | $18.68 | $22.22 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -29% / 18% | -8% / 18% | -0% / 19% | 4% / 19% | 7% / 19% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for OWL:
- Revenue is growing 19.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~10.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 10.2% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against OWL:
- Thin net margins (3.0%) leave little room for error.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.5x) adds financial risk.
- A rich 162.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (36/100).
Valuation risk — at 162.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.5x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.0%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Blue Owl Capital Inc is a large-cap financials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 162.1x earnings, which our model scores Weak (36/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 20 Wall Street analysts covering OWL recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-5 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
OWL's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
OWL — frequently asked questions
Is OWL a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Blue Owl Capital Inc Weak (36/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is OWL's rating on The Stocks School?
Blue Owl Capital Inc currently scores 36/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does OWL's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Blue Owl Capital Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for OWL calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this OWL analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell OWL. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.