USFD
US Foods Holding Corp
$94.98
▼ 0.1%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
USFD at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 43/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 30.6% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$22.97B
P/E
34.45x
Forward P/E (est.)
25.25x
ROE
15.3%
Revenue Growth
3.7%
EPS Growth
36.4%
Profit Margin
1.7%
FCF Yield
3.3%
Debt / Equity
1.25x
ROIC
22.0%
Interest Coverage
3.7x
Current Ratio
1.14x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.6%
Rating Score
43/100
US Foods Holding Corp (USFD) is a large-cap company in the Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $22.97B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $39.42B in revenue and $676.00M in net profit.
Our model rates USFD Neutral (43/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
17.3% average over the last 3 years
±0.6 pts around 17.2% across 9 years
grew in 7 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 9 years
22.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what USFD's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. USFD trades near $94.98, above its 50-day average ($89.37) and 200-day average ($84.11). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 75 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. USFD's is $2.97 (~3.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month USFD found buyers near $81.77 (support) and sellers near $104.43 (resistance); its 52-week range is $69.88–$104.43. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
14.6%
Revenue moved from $22.92B in 2016 to $39.42B in 2025, a 7.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (3.7%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
17.4%
Operating Margin
3.0%
Net Margin
1.7%
ROE
15.3%
US Foods Holding Corp keeps about 1.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 17.4% gross margin and 3.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 15.3% and return on invested capital about 22.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$1.33K
Net Debt
-$49.00M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.04x
Debt / Equity
1.25x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 3.7x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $1.33K of total debt against $49.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.37B
Free Cash Flow
$959.00M
FCF Margin
2.4%
In the latest year US Foods Holding Corp produced about $1.37B of operating cash flow and $959.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 3.3% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
34.45x
P/S
0.58x
P/B
4.02x
EV / EBITDA
13.8x
USFD trades at 34.5x trailing earnings (about 25.3x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 4.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$73.38
Current price
$94.98
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$959.00M
Growth, years 1–5
3.7%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where USFD sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How USFD stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), USFD ranks #57 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (34.5x P/E vs. 25.1x median) with a lower return on equity (15.3% vs. 26.2%) and slower revenue growth (3.7% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
34.5x
median 25.1x
ROE vs sector
15.3%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
3.7%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#57
of 158 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $94.98 today · expected CAGR 5% – 16%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $41.00B | $42.64B | $44.35B | $46.12B | $47.97B |
| Net income | $1.23B | $1.28B | $1.33B | $1.38B | $1.44B |
| EPS | $5.09 | $5.29 | $5.50 | $5.72 | $5.95 |
| Share price (low) | $101.74 | $105.81 | $110.04 | $114.44 | $119.02 |
| Share price (high) | $172.95 | $179.87 | $187.06 | $194.55 | $202.33 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 7% / 82% | 6% / 38% | 5% / 25% | 5% / 20% | 5% / 16% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for USFD:
- Strong return on equity (15.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against USFD:
- Thin net margins (1.7%) leave little room for error.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Valuation risk — at 34.5x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.2x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (1.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: US Foods Holding Corp is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 34.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (43/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 23 Wall Street analysts covering USFD recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
USFD's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
USFD — frequently asked questions
Is USFD a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates US Foods Holding Corp Neutral (43/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is USFD's rating on The Stocks School?
US Foods Holding Corp currently scores 43/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does USFD's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from US Foods Holding Corp's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for USFD calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this USFD analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell USFD. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.