PFGC Performance Food Group Co
$96.99
▼ 0.3%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
PFGC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Weak · 26/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 26.3% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$17.77B
P/E
54.08x
Forward P/E (est.)
62.13x
ROE
7.1%
Revenue Growth
8.4%
EPS Growth
-13.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
FCF Yield
5.3%
Debt / Equity
1.56x
ROIC
7.0%
Interest Coverage
2.15x
Current Ratio
1.51x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.0%
Rating Score
26/100
Business Overview
Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Retail industry, within the Consumer Discretionary sector, with a market value around $17.77B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $67.84B in revenue and $359.30M in net profit.
Our model rates PFGC Weak (26/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedSome durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
11.6% average over the last 3 years
±0.8 pts around 11.8% across 10 years
grew in 9 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 10 years
7.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PFGC's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PFGC trades near $96.99, around its 50-day average ($98.22) and 200-day average ($95.23). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 76 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PFGC's is $2.63 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, PFGC found buyers near $94.25 (support) and sellers near $113.17 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $80.82–$113.17. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
7.4%
Revenue moved from $16.76B in 2017 to $67.84B in 2026, a 16.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 8.4% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Profitability
Gross Margin
11.9%
Operating Margin
1.3%
Net Margin
0.5%
ROE
7.1%
Performance Food Group Co keeps about 0.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 11.9% gross margin and 1.3% operating margin. Return on equity is 7.1% and return on invested capital about 7.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$5.01B
Net Debt
$5.01B
Net Debt / EBITDA
5.64x
Debt / Equity
1.56x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.1x, with a current ratio of 1.5x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$1.41B
Free Cash Flow
$1.03B
FCF Margin
1.5%
In the latest year Performance Food Group Co produced about $1.41B of operating cash flow and $1.03B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
54.08x
P/S
0.28x
P/B
3.05x
EV / EBITDA
13.38x
PFGC trades at 54.1x trailing earnings (about 62.1x on estimated forward earnings), 0.3x sales, and 3.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$144.10
Current price
$96.99
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.03B
Growth, years 1–5
8.4%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where PFGC sits versus the Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How PFGC stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 85 rated Consumer Discretionary companies we cover, PFGC ranks #75 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (54.1x P/E vs. 24.6x median) with a lower return on equity (7.1% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (8.4% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
54.1x
median 24.6x
ROE vs sector
7.1%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
8.4%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#75
of 85 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 85 rated companies among the 158 Consumer Discretionary stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$522.43 – $881.60
vs. $96.99 today · implied CAGR 40% – 55%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $73.27B | $79.13B | $85.46B | $92.29B | $99.68B |
| Net income | $2.20B | $2.37B | $2.56B | $2.77B | $2.99B |
| EPS | $12.00 | $12.96 | $14.00 | $15.12 | $16.33 |
| Share price (low) | $384.00 | $414.72 | $447.90 | $483.73 | $522.43 |
| Share price (high) | $648.00 | $699.84 | $755.83 | $816.30 | $881.60 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 296% / 568% | 107% / 169% | 67% / 98% | 49% / 70% | 40% / 55% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for PFGC:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
Bear Case
The case against PFGC:
- Thin net margins (0.5%) leave little room for error.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.6x) adds financial risk.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.1x), so debt costs bite.
- A rich 54.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (26/100).
Key Risks
Valuation risk — at 54.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.6x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (0.5%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Performance Food Group Co is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 54.1x earnings, which our model scores Weak (26/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 21 Wall Street analysts covering PFGC recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
PFGC's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
PFGC — frequently asked questions
Is PFGC a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Performance Food Group Co Weak (26/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is PFGC's rating on The Stocks School?
Performance Food Group Co currently scores 26/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does PFGC's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Performance Food Group Co's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for PFGC calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this PFGC analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell PFGC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.