TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd
$43.75
▼ 1.0%Updated Today 12:18 PM ET
TCOM at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Strong · 85/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 30.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$27.36B
P/E
6.34x
Forward P/E (est.)
4.53x
ROE
19.3%
Revenue Growth
17.3%
EPS Growth
84.1%
Profit Margin
48.6%
FCF Yield
33.6%
Debt / Equity
0.18x
ROIC
7.0%
Interest Coverage
18.65x
Current Ratio
1.55x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
1.8%
Rating Score
85/100
Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM) is a large-cap company in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $27.36B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $8.74B in revenue and $4.76B in net profit.
Our model rates TCOM Strong (85/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
81.4% average over the last 3 years
±3.3 pts around 83.4% across 9 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 10 years
7.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TCOM's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TCOM trades near $43.75, below its 50-day average ($48.21) and 200-day average ($60.48). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 33 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TCOM's is $1.91 (~4.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TCOM found buyers near $38.04 (support) and sellers near $48.83 (resistance); its 52-week range is $38.04–$78.99. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
32.9%
Revenue moved from $429.34M in 2010 to $8.74B in 2025, a 39.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 17.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
82.3%
Operating Margin
25.8%
Net Margin
54.5%
ROE
19.3%
Trip.com Group Ltd keeps about 48.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 82.3% gross margin and 25.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 19.3% and return on invested capital about 7.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$1.22B
Net Debt
-$4.48B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-1.98x
Debt / Equity
0.18x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 18.6x, with a current ratio of 1.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $1.22B of total debt against $5.70B of cash.
Operating CF
$2.06B
Free Cash Flow
$1.95B
FCF Margin
22.3%
In the latest year Trip.com Group Ltd produced about $2.06B of operating cash flow and $1.95B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 33.6% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
6.34x
P/S
2.97x
P/B
2.06x
EV / EBITDA
—
TCOM trades at 6.3x trailing earnings (about 4.5x on estimated forward earnings), 3.0x sales, and 2.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 1.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$107.46
Current price
$43.75
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.95B
Growth, years 1–5
17.3%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where TCOM sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How TCOM stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), TCOM ranks #1 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (6.3x P/E vs. 25.3x median) with a lower return on equity (19.3% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (17.3% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
6.3x
median 25.3x
ROE vs sector
19.3%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
17.3%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#1
of 158 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $43.75 today · expected CAGR 12% – 23%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.22B | $11.96B | $13.99B | $16.37B | $19.16B |
| Net income | $5.11B | $5.98B | $7.00B | $8.19B | $9.58B |
| EPS | $8.17 | $9.56 | $11.19 | $13.09 | $15.32 |
| Share price (low) | $40.87 | $47.82 | $55.95 | $65.46 | $76.59 |
| Share price (high) | $65.39 | $76.51 | $89.52 | $104.73 | $122.54 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -7% / 49% | 5% / 32% | 9% / 27% | 11% / 24% | 12% / 23% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TCOM:
- Revenue is growing 17.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (48.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (19.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~33.6%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (85/100).
The case against TCOM:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Trip.com Group Ltd is a large-cap consumer discretionary business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 6.3x earnings, which our model scores Strong (85/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 31 Wall Street analysts covering TCOM recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
TCOM's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
TCOM — frequently asked questions
Is TCOM a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Trip.com Group Ltd Strong (85/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is TCOM's rating on The Stocks School?
Trip.com Group Ltd currently scores 85/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does TCOM's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Trip.com Group Ltd's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for TCOM calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this TCOM analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TCOM. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.