HTHT H World Group Ltd
$46.41
▲ 1.0%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
HTHT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Favorable · 69/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 26.3% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$12.98B
P/E
17.56x
Forward P/E (est.)
12.54x
ROE
41.9%
Revenue Growth
7.9%
EPS Growth
54.7%
Profit Margin
19.3%
FCF Yield
2.2%
Debt / Equity
0.7x
ROIC
40.0%
Interest Coverage
18.06x
Current Ratio
0.91x
Dividend Yield
4.9%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
69/100
Business Overview
H World Group Ltd (HTHT) is a large-cap NASDAQ-listed company in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry, within the Consumer Discretionary sector, with a market value around $12.98B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $3.54B in revenue and $726.00M in net profit.
Our model rates HTHT Favorable (69/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedSome durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
23.5% average over the last 3 years
±13.7 pts around 12.8% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 9 years
40.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what HTHT's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. HTHT trades near $46.41, around its 50-day average ($45.65) and 200-day average ($46.72). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 36 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. HTHT's is $1.34 (~2.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, HTHT found buyers near $40.47 (support) and sellers near $45.50 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $30.41–$56.64. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
18.6%
Revenue moved from $920.22M in 2016 to $3.54B in 2025, a 16.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 7.9% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Profitability
Gross Margin
68.3%
Operating Margin
27.5%
Net Margin
20.5%
ROE
41.9%
H World Group Ltd keeps about 19.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 68.3% gross margin and 27.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 41.9% and return on invested capital about 40.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$108.78M
Net Debt
-$1.38B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-1.41x
Debt / Equity
0.7x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.7x, and operating profit covers interest about 18.1x, with a current ratio of 0.9x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $108.78M of total debt against $1.49B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$1.20B
Free Cash Flow
$1.20B
FCF Margin
33.8%
In the latest year H World Group Ltd produced about $1.20B of operating cash flow and $1.20B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.2% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockCoverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
4.9%
Total paid (latest FY)
$548.10M
History on record
7 years
dividend uses 46% of free cash flow
75% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 7 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
17.56x
P/S
3.47x
P/B
7.56x
EV / EBITDA
10.05x
HTHT trades at 17.6x trailing earnings (about 12.5x on estimated forward earnings), 3.5x sales, and 7.6x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where HTHT sits versus the Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How HTHT stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 85 rated Consumer Discretionary companies we cover, HTHT ranks #6 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (17.6x P/E vs. 24.6x median) with a higher return on equity (41.9% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (7.9% vs. 6.8%).
P/E vs sector
17.6x
median 24.6x
ROE vs sector
41.9%
median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
7.9%
median 6.8%
Sector rank
#6
of 85 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 85 rated companies among the 158 Consumer Discretionary stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$40.95 – $67.02
vs. $46.41 today · implied CAGR -2% – 8%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.83B | $4.13B | $4.46B | $4.82B | $5.21B |
| Net income | $765.28M | $826.51M | $892.63M | $964.04M | $1.04B |
| EPS | $2.74 | $2.96 | $3.19 | $3.45 | $3.72 |
| Share price (low) | $30.10 | $32.51 | $35.11 | $37.92 | $40.95 |
| Share price (high) | $49.26 | $53.20 | $57.46 | $62.05 | $67.02 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -35% / 6% | -16% / 7% | -9% / 7% | -5% / 8% | -2% / 8% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for HTHT:
- High net margins (19.3%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (41.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Pays a 4.9% dividend on top of any price gains.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (69/100).
Bear Case
The case against HTHT:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: H World Group Ltd is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 17.6x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (69/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Latest SEC Filings
HTHT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
HTHT — frequently asked questions
Is HTHT a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates H World Group Ltd Favorable (69/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is HTHT's rating on The Stocks School?
H World Group Ltd currently scores 69/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does HTHT's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from H World Group Ltd's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for HTHT calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this HTHT analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell HTHT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.