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SAP SAP SE

NYSE
Favorable · 66/100
Information Technology
Technology

$222.63

▼ 1.1%

Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET

Report Card

SAP at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

How the 0–100 rating is calculated
Value
57
Growth
67
Profitability
71
Health
75
Dividends
51

Overall: Favorable · 66/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 47.1% in the year to Jul 6, 2026

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · chart data as of Jul 6, 2026

Key Metrics

Market Cap

$176.08B

P/E

22.63x

Forward P/E (est.)

17.63x

ROE

16.9%

Revenue Growth

6.2%

EPS Growth

28.4%

Profit Margin

19.6%

FCF Yield

2.3%

Debt / Equity

0.17x

ROIC

23.0%

Interest Coverage

19.55x

Current Ratio

1.17x

Dividend Yield

1.8%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

3.6%

Rating Score

66/100

Business Overview

Research

SAP SE (SAP) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Technology industry, within the Information Technology sector, with a market value around $176.08B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $39.74B in revenue and $7.73B in net profit.

Our model rates SAP Favorable (66/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Profit margins and economic moats, explained
Wide moat signalsMoat evidence score: 87/100

The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.

Gross margin level100/100

72.7% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability83/100

±1.4 pts around 71.5% across 10 years

Revenue durability69/100

grew in 7 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital90/100

23.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)

Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what SAP's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. SAP trades near $222.63, above its 50-day average ($169.55) and 200-day average ($213.04). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 46 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. SAP's is $4.80 (~2.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, SAP found buyers near $148.06 (support) and sellers near $192.13 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $148.06–$313.28. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.4× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.

Revenue Growth

Research
How to read an income statement

4Y CAGR

8.1%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $23.83B in 2016 to $39.74B in 2025, a 5.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 6.2% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability

Research
What profit margins tell you
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

72.9%

Operating Margin

26.1%

Net Margin

19.5%

ROE

16.9%

SAP SE keeps about 19.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 72.9% gross margin and 26.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 16.9% and return on invested capital about 23.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis

Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$4.91B

Net Debt

$92.00M

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.01x

Debt / Equity

0.17x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 19.6x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $4.91B of total debt against $4.82B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis

Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$9.89B

Free Cash Flow

$9.09B

FCF Margin

22.9%

In the latest year SAP SE produced about $9.89B of operating cash flow and $9.09B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.3% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

What to look for in a dividend stock
BorderlineSafety score: 63/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

1.8%

Per share (latest FY)

$2.54

Total paid (latest FY)

$2.97B

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 33% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

38% of net income paid out

Raise streak25/100

total dividends increased 2 years in a row

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis

Research
What is a reasonable P/E ratio?
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

22.63x

P/S

4.5x

P/B

5.45x

EV / EBITDA

14.93x

SAP trades at 22.6x trailing earnings (about 17.6x on estimated forward earnings), 4.5x sales, and 5.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

How this DCF estimate is calculated

DCF fair value / share

$144.15

Current price

$222.63

-35% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$9.09B

Growth, years 1–5

6.2%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$77.43B
PV of terminal value$99.66B
Estimated equity value$177.09B
Shares outstanding1.23B

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where SAP sits versus the Information Technology companies we cover.

TTM P/E
22.6xFair
Forward P/E
17.6xFair
P/S ratio
4.5xFair
Revenue growth
6.2%Weak
EPS growth
28.4%Average
Gross margin
72.9%Average
Net margin
19.6%Average
ROE
16.9%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How SAP stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

Among the 98 rated Information Technology companies we cover, SAP ranks #31 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (22.6x P/E vs. 36.2x median) with a lower return on equity (16.9% vs. 17.5%) and slower revenue growth (6.2% vs. 17.7%).

P/E vs sector

22.6x

median 36.2x

ROE vs sector

16.9%

median 17.5%

Growth vs sector

6.2%

median 17.7%

Sector rank

#31

of 98 rated

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
SAPThis stock22.6x6.2%Favorable· 66
SHOP165x31.9%Neutral· 43
SNOW—31.1%Weak· 33
NET—31.6%Weak· 26
INFY14.4x9.6%Favorable· 71
TWLO—15.7%Weak· 36
P107.9x21.0%Neutral· 57
WIT13.8x4.0%Neutral· 54
Information Technology median36.2x17.7%58/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianSHOPINFYPWITSAPP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 98 rated companies among the 230 Information Technology stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

What drives this projection, and its limits

2030 scenario price range (Base Case)

$178.88 – $293.87

vs. $222.63 today · implied CAGR -4% – 6%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$42.13B$44.66B$47.34B$50.18B$53.19B
Net income$8.00B$8.48B$8.99B$9.53B$10.11B
EPS$10.12$10.73$11.37$12.05$12.78
Share price (low)$141.69$150.19$159.20$168.75$178.88
Share price (high)$232.77$246.74$261.54$277.23$293.87
CAGR (low–high)-36% / 5%-18% / 5%-11% / 6%-7% / 6%-4% / 6%

Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for SAP:

  • High net margins (19.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (16.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (66/100).

Bear Case

The case against SAP:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.

Key Risks

Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis

Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: SAP SE is a large-cap information technology business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 22.6x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (66/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 39 Wall Street analysts covering SAP recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.9 / 5 across 39 analysts
Strong Buy 8Buy 22Hold 7Sell 1Strong Sell 1

Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+3 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

SAP's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K

In the Idea Lab

SAP — frequently asked questions

Is SAP a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates SAP SE Favorable (66/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is SAP's rating on The Stocks School?

SAP SE currently scores 66/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work →
Where does SAP's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from SAP SE's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for SAP calculated?

It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this SAP analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell SAP. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.