MAT Mattel Inc
$17.11
▼ 1.2%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
MAT at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: not rated yet. This stock's fundamentals ratios aren't loaded, so only the pillars its filings support are scored.
Key Metrics
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E (est.)
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ROE
—
Revenue Growth
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EPS Growth
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Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
10.0%
Interest Coverage
4.41x
Current Ratio
1.9x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
Not rated
Business Overview
Mattel Inc (MAT) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Leisure Products industry, within the Consumer Discretionary sector.
In its latest reported year it generated about $5.35B in revenue and $397.58M in net profit.
Our model hasn't rated MAT yet because its fundamentals ratios (P/E, margins, returns on capital, leverage) aren't loaded. Any financial history below comes straight from its SEC filings and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
49.0% average over the last 3 years
±4.0 pts around 45.8% across 10 years
grew in 3 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 10 years
10.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
-0.5%
Revenue moved from $5.46B in 2016 to $5.35B in 2025, a -0.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Profitability
Gross Margin
48.7%
Operating Margin
10.2%
Net Margin
7.4%
ROE
—
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$2.33B
Net Debt
$1.81B
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.31x
Debt / Equity
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Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, and operating profit covers interest about 4.4x, with a current ratio of 1.9x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $2.33B of total debt against $523.86M of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$593.25M
Free Cash Flow
$593.25M
FCF Margin
11.1%
In the latest year Mattel Inc produced about $593.25M of operating cash flow and $593.25M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockCoverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Per share (latest FY)
$0.91
Total paid (latest FY)
$311.97M
History on record
2 years
dividend uses 53% of free cash flow
78% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 2 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
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P/S
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P/B
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EV / EBITDA
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MAT trades at n/a trailing earnings. Its valuation ratios aren't loaded yet, so there is no P/E to judge here.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where MAT sits versus the Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How MAT stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
MAT doesn't have a model rating yet (its fundamentals ratios aren't loaded), so it isn't ranked against the 85 rated Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
P/E vs sector
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median 24.6x
ROE vs sector
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median 26.2%
Growth vs sector
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median 6.8%
Sector rank
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not rated yet
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 85 rated companies among the 158 Consumer Discretionary stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$23.10 – $38.50
vs. $17.11 today · implied CAGR 6% – 18%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.78B | $6.24B | $6.74B | $7.28B | $7.86B |
| Net income | $404.28M | $436.62M | $471.55M | $509.28M | $550.02M |
| EPS | $1.42 | $1.53 | $1.65 | $1.78 | $1.93 |
| Share price (low) | $16.98 | $18.34 | $19.81 | $21.39 | $23.10 |
| Share price (high) | $28.30 | $30.57 | $33.01 | $35.65 | $38.50 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -1% / 65% | 4% / 34% | 5% / 24% | 6% / 20% | 6% / 18% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions. Growth, margin or P/E data is missing for this stock, so some starting values above are placeholders rather than measurements.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Analyst Ratings
What 21 Wall Street analysts covering MAT recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
MAT's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
MAT — frequently asked questions
Is MAT a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review Mattel Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does MAT's data come from?
Live price data plus the annual financials in Mattel Inc's SEC filings, refreshed automatically. Its fundamentals ratios aren't loaded yet, which is why it has no model rating.
How is the 5-year projection for MAT calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this MAT analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MAT. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.