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ERIE

S&P 500
Favorable · 61/100

Erie Indemnity

Financials
Insurance Brokers

$211.65

4.3%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 36.6% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$10.30B

P/E

18.15x

Forward P/E (est.)

18.03x

ROE

25.0%

Revenue Growth

4.8%

EPS Growth

0.7%

Profit Margin

14.0%

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

0x

ROIC

24.0%

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

1.29x

Dividend Yield

2.6%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

3.3%

Rating Score

61/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ERIE's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ERIE trades near $211.65, below its 50-day average ($227.71) and 200-day average ($273.44). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 53 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ERIE's is $7.14 (~3.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month ERIE found buyers near $204.63 (support) and sellers near $234.39 (resistance); its 52-week range is $204.63–$380.67. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.9× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) is a large-cap company in the Insurance Brokers industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.30B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $4.07B in revenue and $559.34M in net profit.

Our model rates ERIE Favorable (61/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

11.5%

Revenue moved from $2.63B in 2021 to $4.07B in 2025, a 11.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.8%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

17.9%

Operating Margin

17.6%

Net Margin

13.8%

ROE

25.0%

Erie Indemnity keeps about 14.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 17.9% gross margin and 17.6% operating margin. Return on equity is 25.0% and return on invested capital about 24.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

Net Debt

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$686.66M

Free Cash Flow

$570.97M

FCF Margin

14.0%

In the latest year Erie Indemnity produced about $686.66M of operating cash flow and $570.97M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

18.15x

P/S

2.6x

P/B

5.73x

EV / EBITDA

13.02x

ERIE trades at 18.2x trailing earnings (about 18.0x on estimated forward earnings), 2.6x sales, and 5.7x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
18.2xFair
Forward P/E
18.0xFair
P/S ratio
2.6xExpensive
Revenue growth
4.8%Average
EPS growth
0.7%Weak
Gross margin
17.9%Weak
Net margin
14.0%Strong
ROE
25.0%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How ERIE stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Financials sector (76 S&P 500 companies), ERIE ranks #48 of 76 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (18.2x P/E vs. 15.2x median) with a higher return on equity (25.0% vs. 15.3%) and slower revenue growth (4.8% vs. 9.1%).

P/E vs sector

18.2x

median 15.2x

ROE vs sector

25.0%

median 15.3%

Growth vs sector

4.8%

median 9.1%

Sector rank

#48

of 76 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
ERIEThis stock18.2x4.8%Favorable· 61
BRO17.4x29.3%Favorable· 65
WTW14.5x0.9%Favorable· 61
AJG34x24.5%Neutral· 52
AON17.2x6.9%Favorable· 68
MRSH19.8x9.9%Neutral· 55
JKHY17.3x8.4%Strong· 74
IVZ-19.1%Weak· 21
Financials median15.2x9.1%65/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianBROWTWAJGAONMRSHJKHYERIEP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 76 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

Bull Case

The case for ERIE:

  • Strong return on equity (25.0%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
  • Pays a 2.6% dividend on top of any price gains.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (61/100).
Bear Case

The case against ERIE:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Erie Indemnity is a large-cap financials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 18.2x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (61/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.