EMBJ
Embraer SA
$65.40
▼ 0.8%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
EMBJ at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 39/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 9.5% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$12.26B
P/E
36.2x
Forward P/E (est.)
46.98x
ROE
9.2%
Revenue Growth
15.2%
EPS Growth
-22.9%
Profit Margin
3.9%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0.79x
ROIC
14.0%
Interest Coverage
0.99x
Current Ratio
1.5x
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.3%
Rating Score
39/100
Embraer SA (EMBJ) is a large-cap company in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $12.26B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $7.58B in revenue and $351.90M in net profit.
Our model rates EMBJ Weak (39/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
17.6% average over the last 3 years
±2.7 pts around 16.2% across 10 years
grew in 7 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 10 years
14.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what EMBJ's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. EMBJ trades near $65.40, above its 50-day average ($60.10) and 200-day average ($63.91). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 75 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. EMBJ's is $2.28 (~3.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month EMBJ found buyers near $53.56 (support) and sellers near $66.93 (resistance); its 52-week range is $46.54–$80.75. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
15.9%
Revenue moved from $6.20B in 2016 to $7.58B in 2025, a 2.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 15.2% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
17.5%
Operating Margin
8.0%
Net Margin
4.6%
ROE
9.2%
Embraer SA keeps about 3.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 17.5% gross margin and 8.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 9.2% and return on invested capital about 14.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$9.70M
Net Debt
-$1.94B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-3.19x
Debt / Equity
0.79x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 1.0x, with a current ratio of 1.5x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $9.70M of total debt against $1.95B of cash.
Operating CF
$870.00M
Free Cash Flow
$682.80M
FCF Margin
9.0%
In the latest year Embraer SA produced about $870.00M of operating cash flow and $682.80M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
36.2x
P/S
1.46x
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
16.99x
EMBJ trades at 36.2x trailing earnings (about 47.0x on estimated forward earnings), 1.5x sales. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$30.21
Current price
$65.40
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$682.80M
Growth, years 1–5
15.2%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where EMBJ sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How EMBJ stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), EMBJ ranks #115 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (36.2x P/E vs. 30.8x median) with a lower return on equity (9.2% vs. 18.1%) and faster revenue growth (15.2% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
36.2x
median 30.8x
ROE vs sector
9.2%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
15.2%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#115
of 273 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $65.40 today · expected CAGR 6% – 17%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.71B | $10.02B | $11.52B | $13.25B | $15.24B |
| Net income | $435.71M | $501.06M | $576.22M | $662.65M | $762.05M |
| EPS | $2.32 | $2.67 | $3.07 | $3.53 | $4.06 |
| Share price (low) | $51.12 | $58.79 | $67.61 | $77.75 | $89.41 |
| Share price (high) | $83.66 | $96.20 | $110.63 | $127.23 | $146.31 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -22% / 28% | -5% / 21% | 1% / 19% | 4% / 18% | 6% / 17% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for EMBJ:
- Revenue is growing 15.2% a year, a sign of real demand.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against EMBJ:
- Thin net margins (3.9%) leave little room for error.
- Interest coverage is thin (1.0x), so debt costs bite.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (39/100).
Valuation risk — at 36.2x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.9%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Embraer SA is a large-cap industrials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 36.2x earnings, which our model scores Weak (39/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 13 Wall Street analysts covering EMBJ recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
EMBJ's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
EMBJ — frequently asked questions
Is EMBJ a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Embraer SA Weak (39/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is EMBJ's rating on The Stocks School?
Embraer SA currently scores 39/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does EMBJ's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Embraer SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for EMBJ calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this EMBJ analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell EMBJ. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.