ATI
ATI Inc
$195.50
▲ 5.0%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
ATI at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 36/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 121.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$25.67B
P/E
61.32x
Forward P/E (est.)
55.41x
ROE
24.2%
Revenue Growth
2.9%
EPS Growth
10.7%
Profit Margin
9.3%
FCF Yield
1.4%
Debt / Equity
0.97x
ROIC
29.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
2.67x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
7.6%
Rating Score
36/100
ATI Inc (ATI) is a large-cap company in the Aerospace & Defense industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $25.67B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $4.59B in revenue and $404.30M in net profit.
Our model rates ATI Weak (36/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
20.6% average over the last 3 years
±4.5 pts around 14.8% across 10 years
grew in 6 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 5 of 10 years
29.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ATI's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ATI trades near $195.50, above its 50-day average ($174.61) and 200-day average ($133.05). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ATI's is $6.84 (~3.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month ATI found buyers near $175.66 (support) and sellers near $205.31 (resistance); its 52-week range is $70.42–$205.31. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
13.1%
Revenue moved from $3.13B in 2016 to $4.59B in 2025, a 4.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (2.9%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
22.0%
Operating Margin
14.0%
Net Margin
8.8%
ROE
24.2%
ATI Inc keeps about 9.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 22.0% gross margin and 14.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 24.2% and return on invested capital about 29.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.97x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.0x, with a current ratio of 2.7x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses.
Operating CF
$614.30M
Free Cash Flow
$333.70M
FCF Margin
7.3%
In the latest year ATI Inc produced about $614.30M of operating cash flow and $333.70M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 1.4% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
61.32x
P/S
5.6x
P/B
8.93x
EV / EBITDA
31.23x
ATI trades at 61.3x trailing earnings (about 55.4x on estimated forward earnings), 5.6x sales, and 8.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$39.51
Current price
$195.50
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$333.70M
Growth, years 1–5
2.9%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where ATI sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How ATI stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), ATI ranks #122 of 273 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (61.3x P/E vs. 30.8x median) with a higher return on equity (24.2% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (2.9% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
61.3x
median 30.8x
ROE vs sector
24.2%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
2.9%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#122
of 273 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $195.50 today · expected CAGR -7% – 3%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.73B | $4.87B | $5.01B | $5.16B | $5.32B |
| Net income | $425.25M | $438.01M | $451.15M | $464.68M | $478.62M |
| EPS | $3.24 | $3.34 | $3.44 | $3.54 | $3.65 |
| Share price (low) | $119.83 | $123.43 | $127.13 | $130.94 | $134.87 |
| Share price (high) | $197.56 | $203.49 | $209.59 | $215.88 | $222.35 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -39% / 1% | -21% / 2% | -13% / 2% | -10% / 3% | -7% / 3% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for ATI:
- Strong return on equity (24.2%) shows capital is put to work well.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against ATI:
- Revenue growth is slow (2.9%), limiting the upside engine.
- A rich 61.3x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (36/100).
Valuation risk — at 61.3x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (2.9%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: ATI Inc is a large-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 61.3x earnings, which our model scores Weak (36/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 15 Wall Street analysts covering ATI recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
ATI's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
ATI — frequently asked questions
Is ATI a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates ATI Inc Weak (36/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is ATI's rating on The Stocks School?
ATI Inc currently scores 36/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does ATI's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from ATI Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for ATI calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this ATI analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ATI. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.