AAL
American Airlines Group Inc
$15.19
▲ 0.3%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
AAL at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Unrated · 0/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Market Cap
$0.00
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
—
Revenue Growth
—
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
—
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
—
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
0.68x
Current Ratio
0.49x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
0/100
American Airlines Group Inc (AAL) is a small-cap company in the Airlines industry, part of the Industrials sector of the S&P 500.
In its latest reported year it generated about $54.63B in revenue and $111.00M in net profit.
Our model rates AAL Unrated (0/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
4.4% average over the last 3 years
±20.1 pts around -1.2% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 4 of 10 years
6.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
4Y CAGR
16.3%
Revenue moved from $40.14B in 2016 to $54.63B in 2025, a 3.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly steady year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
2.7%
Net Margin
0.2%
ROE
—
Total Debt
$22.93B
Net Debt
$21.76B
Net Debt / EBITDA
14.83x
Debt / Equity
—
Leverage: debt-to-equity is n/a, and operating profit covers interest about 0.7x, with a current ratio of 0.5x. Detailed balance-sheet leverage is limited for this name. It carries roughly $22.93B of total debt against $1.18B of cash.
Operating CF
$3.10B
Free Cash Flow
-$680.00M
FCF Margin
-1.2%
In the latest year American Airlines Group Inc produced about $3.10B of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Per share (latest FY)
$0.10
Total paid (latest FY)
$43.00M
History on record
5 years
free cash flow was negative in the latest year — the dividend is being financed
39% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 5 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
—
P/S
—
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
AAL trades at n/a trailing earnings. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
Where AAL sits versus its Industrials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How AAL stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Industrials sector (273 S&P 500 companies), AAL ranks #143 of 273 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 30.7x
ROE vs sector
—
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
—
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#143
of 273 by rating
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 273 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $15.19 today · expected CAGR 24% – 37%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $59.00B | $63.72B | $68.82B | $74.33B | $80.27B |
| Net income | $1.77B | $1.91B | $2.06B | $2.23B | $2.41B |
| EPS | $2.68 | $2.89 | $3.12 | $3.37 | $3.64 |
| Share price (low) | $32.12 | $34.69 | $37.46 | $40.46 | $43.69 |
| Share price (high) | $53.53 | $57.81 | $62.43 | $67.43 | $72.82 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 111% / 252% | 51% / 95% | 35% / 60% | 28% / 45% | 24% / 37% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AAL:
- As an established S&P 500 member in Industrials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against AAL:
- Interest coverage is thin (0.7x), so debt costs bite.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: American Airlines Group Inc is a small-cap industrials business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Unrated (0/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 30 Wall Street analysts covering AAL recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-7 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
AAL's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
AAL — frequently asked questions
Is AAL a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Review American Airlines Group Inc's fundamentals, valuation, and 5-year financials on this page, then make your own decision — and consider a licensed professional.
Where does AAL's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from American Airlines Group Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for AAL calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this AAL analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AAL. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.