RYAAY Ryanair Holdings PLC
$52.30
▲ 0.4%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
RYAAY at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Strong · 72/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 14.5% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$28.63B
P/E
12.99x
Forward P/E (est.)
9.28x
ROE
24.7%
Revenue Growth
11.4%
EPS Growth
41.8%
Profit Margin
14.0%
FCF Yield
4.3%
Debt / Equity
0.15x
ROIC
14.0%
Interest Coverage
20.29x
Current Ratio
0.74x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
1.8%
Rating Score
72/100
Business Overview
Ryanair Holdings PLC (RYAAY) is a large-cap NASDAQ-listed company in the Airlines industry, within the Industrials sector, with a market value around $28.63B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $15.06B in revenue and $1.74B in net profit.
Our model rates RYAAY Strong (72/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedSome durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
13.3% average over the last 3 years
±21.4 pts around 7.7% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 7 of 8 years
14.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what RYAAY's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. RYAAY trades near $52.30, below its 50-day average ($58.81) and 200-day average ($63.05). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 73 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. RYAAY's is $1.60 (~3.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, RYAAY found buyers near $55.75 (support) and sellers near $66.34 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $53.14–$74.24. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
70.9%
Revenue moved from $7.06B in 2016 to $15.06B in 2025, a 8.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 11.4% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
41.8%
Operating Margin
11.2%
Net Margin
11.6%
ROE
24.7%
Ryanair Holdings PLC keeps about 14.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 41.8% gross margin and 11.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 24.7% and return on invested capital about 14.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$1.82B
Net Debt
$144.42M
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.09x
Debt / Equity
0.15x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.1x, and operating profit covers interest about 20.3x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $1.82B of total debt against $1.68B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$3.69B
Free Cash Flow
$2.01B
FCF Margin
13.4%
In the latest year Ryanair Holdings PLC produced about $3.69B of operating cash flow and $2.01B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockThe dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Total paid (latest FY)
$472.72M
History on record
7 years
dividend uses 23% of free cash flow
27% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 7 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
12.99x
P/S
1.82x
P/B
2.47x
EV / EBITDA
11.7x
RYAAY trades at 13.0x trailing earnings (about 9.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.8x sales, and 2.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 1.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$50.17
Current price
$52.30
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$2.01B
Growth, years 1–5
11.4%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where RYAAY sits versus the Industrials companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 144 Industrials companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How RYAAY stacks up against its Industrials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 142 rated Industrials companies we cover, RYAAY ranks #4 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (13x P/E vs. 30.5x median) with a higher return on equity (24.7% vs. 18.1%) and faster revenue growth (11.4% vs. 6.0%).
P/E vs sector
13x
median 30.5x
ROE vs sector
24.7%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
11.4%
median 6.0%
Sector rank
#4
of 142 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Industrials companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 142 rated companies among the 273 Industrials stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$44.52 – $72.34
vs. $52.30 today · implied CAGR -3% – 7%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.72B | $18.56B | $20.60B | $22.87B | $25.38B |
| Net income | $2.01B | $2.23B | $2.47B | $2.74B | $3.05B |
| EPS | $3.67 | $4.07 | $4.52 | $5.01 | $5.56 |
| Share price (low) | $29.33 | $32.55 | $36.13 | $40.11 | $44.52 |
| Share price (high) | $47.66 | $52.90 | $58.72 | $65.17 | $72.34 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -44% / -9% | -21% / 1% | -12% / 4% | -6% / 6% | -3% / 7% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for RYAAY:
- Revenue is growing 11.4% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (24.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.1x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (72/100).
Bear Case
The case against RYAAY:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Ryanair Holdings PLC is a large-cap industrials business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 13.0x earnings, which our model scores Strong (72/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 23 Wall Street analysts covering RYAAY recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+4 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
RYAAY's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
RYAAY — frequently asked questions
Is RYAAY a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ryanair Holdings PLC Strong (72/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is RYAAY's rating on The Stocks School?
Ryanair Holdings PLC currently scores 72/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does RYAAY's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ryanair Holdings PLC's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for RYAAY calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this RYAAY analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell RYAAY. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.