KOF
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV
$103.90
▲ 0.1%Updated Today 3:42 PM ET
KOF at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 50/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 11.0% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$16.75B
P/E
12.35x
Forward P/E (est.)
15.47x
ROE
16.4%
Revenue Growth
3.1%
EPS Growth
-20.1%
Profit Margin
7.9%
FCF Yield
14.9%
Debt / Equity
0.57x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.69x
Dividend Yield
3.8%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
2.4%
Rating Score
50/100
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV (KOF) is a large-cap company in the Beverages industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $16.75B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $16.23B in revenue and $1.42B in net profit.
Our model rates KOF Neutral (50/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
45.2% average over the last 3 years
±0.5 pts around 45.3% across 9 years
grew in 6 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 8 years
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what KOF's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. KOF trades near $103.90, around its 50-day average ($105.78) and 200-day average ($98.10). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 47 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. KOF's is $2.72 (~2.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month KOF found buyers near $103.00 (support) and sellers near $110.19 (resistance); its 52-week range is $80.22–$116.36. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
11.1%
Revenue moved from $10.31B in 2016 to $16.23B in 2024, a 5.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (3.1%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
46.0%
Operating Margin
14.3%
Net Margin
8.8%
ROE
16.4%
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV keeps about 7.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 46.0% gross margin and 14.3% operating margin. Return on equity is 16.4%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$4.08B
Net Debt
$1.90B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.57x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, with a current ratio of 1.7x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $4.08B of total debt against $2.19B of cash.
Operating CF
$2.46B
Free Cash Flow
$1.07B
FCF Margin
6.6%
In the latest year Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV produced about $2.46B of operating cash flow and $1.07B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 14.9% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
3.8%
Total paid (latest FY)
$746.46M
History on record
9 years
dividend uses 70% of free cash flow
52% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 7 years in a row
no cuts in the last 9 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
12.35x
P/S
1.01x
P/B
2.36x
EV / EBITDA
—
KOF trades at 12.4x trailing earnings (about 15.5x on estimated forward earnings), 1.0x sales, and 2.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 2.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$1.04
Current price
$103.90
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.07B
Growth, years 1–5
3.1%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where KOF sits versus its Consumer Staples sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 48 Consumer Staples companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How KOF stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (74 S&P 500 companies), KOF ranks #23 of 74 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (12.4x P/E vs. 22.2x median) with a lower return on equity (16.4% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (3.1% vs. 3.4%).
P/E vs sector
12.4x
median 22.2x
ROE vs sector
16.4%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
3.1%
median 3.4%
Sector rank
#23
of 74 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 74 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $103.90 today · expected CAGR -7% – 4%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.71B | $17.22B | $17.73B | $18.26B | $18.81B |
| Net income | $1.50B | $1.55B | $1.60B | $1.64B | $1.69B |
| EPS | $9.33 | $9.61 | $9.90 | $10.20 | $10.50 |
| Share price (low) | $65.32 | $67.27 | $69.29 | $71.37 | $73.51 |
| Share price (high) | $111.97 | $115.33 | $118.79 | $122.35 | $126.02 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -37% / 8% | -20% / 5% | -13% / 5% | -9% / 4% | -7% / 4% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for KOF:
- Strong return on equity (16.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~14.9%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 3.8% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against KOF:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV is a large-cap consumer staples business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 12.4x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (50/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 17 Wall Street analysts covering KOF recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
KOF's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
KOF — frequently asked questions
Is KOF a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV Neutral (50/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is KOF's rating on The Stocks School?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV currently scores 50/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does KOF's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for KOF calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this KOF analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell KOF. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.