INTC Intel Corporation
$90.90
▼ 4.7%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
INTC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Weak · 23/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 523.5% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$604.88B
P/E
0x
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
-2.9%
Revenue Growth
1.4%
EPS Growth
0.0%
Profit Margin
-5.9%
FCF Yield
1.8%
Debt / Equity
0.41x
ROIC
-1.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.6x
Dividend Yield
1.1%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
23/100
Business Overview
Intel's five-year revenue slide (from $79B to $53B) tells the story of lost leadership: TSMC out-manufactured it, AMD out-designed it, and the AI wave went to Nvidia. The turnaround bet is the foundry — investing tens of billions to fabricate chips for others while stabilizing the x86 core. The company currently runs near breakeven (net margin −6%), so today's price is a bet on tomorrow's roadmap, not current earnings.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
35.8% average over the last 3 years
±11.1 pts around 50.5% across 10 years
grew in 5 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 5 of 9 years
-1.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Trade Setup & Technical Analysis
Institutional-style technical read — sample, educational only
Sideways — price ($90.90) sits between its 50-day ($113.38) and 200-day ($60.33) averages.
Setup type
Range / mean-reversion
Holding time
1–6 weeks
Risk level
High
Risk / reward
1 : 9.9
Trade levels
Entry zone
$98.33 – $90.90
Stop loss
$92.73
Target 1
$113.32
Target 2
$130.14
Target 3
$146.95
Position sizing: Starter position only; risk ≤ 0.5% of capital and respect the wider stop.
Technical analysis
RSI(14) is neutral (52); the MACD histogram is negative (downward momentum). Sideways — price ($90.90) sits between its 50-day ($113.38) and 200-day ($60.33) averages. ATR(14) is $11.21 (~12.3% of price), which sets the stop distance. Recent support sits near $98.33 and resistance near $142.35; the 52-week range is $18.97–$142.35.
Fundamental analysis
Revenue is stable at 1.4%, net margin near -5.9%, ROE roughly -2.9%; shares trade at 0x earnings. Quality score: 23/100.
Options flow
Live options-flow data needs a paid feed, so it isn't shown. For realized volatility, ATR of $11.21 (~12.3%/day) is the range to size stops and any option strikes around.
Volume analysis
The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average volume — roughly in line with normal activity.
Catalysts
The next quarterly earnings report is the main near-term catalyst. Technically, watch for a break and hold above $142.35 or a loss of $98.33.
Bullish scenario
The only credible US-based leading-edge foundry alternative — geopolitics and subsidies work in its favor.
Bearish scenario
Negative net income and flat revenue mean the fundamentals don't yet support the story.
Invalidation
A daily close below $92.73 invalidates this setup read.
Probability-based scenario using sample data — not a recommendation or a guarantee of profit. Prioritize capital preservation, use stops, and size positions for risk. Past performance does not predict future results.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what INTC's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. INTC trades near $90.90, around its 50-day average ($113.38) and 200-day average ($60.33). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 52 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. INTC's is $11.21 (~12.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, INTC found buyers near $98.33 (support) and sellers near $142.35 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $18.97–$142.35. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
-9.6%
Revenue grew from $59.39B in 2016 to $52.85B in 2025, a -1.3% CAGR. The most recent year grew about 1.4% year over year, a moderate pace consistent with a mature business.
Profitability
Gross Margin
34.8%
Operating Margin
-4.2%
Net Margin
-0.5%
ROE
-2.9%
Gross margin runs near 35.4% with operating margin around 0.7% and net margin near -5.9%. Return on equity of roughly -2.9% indicates moderate capital efficiency, and the margin profile has trended steady over the period shown.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$46.59B
Net Debt
$33.71B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.41x
Interest-bearing debt is about 9.0% of market capitalization and the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.41x. Leverage is low, leaving the balance sheet well within comfortable limits.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$9.70B
Free Cash Flow
-$4.95B
FCF Margin
-9.4%
Operating cash flow comfortably exceeds reported net income, and free cash flow yield is around 1.8%. Cash generation is positive but partly absorbed by reinvestment and capital expenditure.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockCoverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
1.1%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.38
Total paid (latest FY)
$1.60B
History on record
9 years
free cash flow was negative in the latest year — the dividend is being financed
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 9 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
0x
P/S
11.29x
P/B
1.19x
EV / EBITDA
0x
Shares trade at roughly 0x trailing earnings (0x forward), 11.3x sales, and 0x EV/EBITDA. That is a reasonable-to-cheap multiple relative to the broader market. Our internal rating is Weak.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where INTC sits versus the Information Technology companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How INTC stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 98 rated Information Technology companies we cover, INTC ranks #96 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (0x P/E vs. 36.2x median) with a lower return on equity (-2.9% vs. 17.5%) and slower revenue growth (1.4% vs. 17.7%).
P/E vs sector
0x
median 36.2x
ROE vs sector
-2.9%
median 17.5%
Growth vs sector
1.4%
median 17.7%
Sector rank
#96
of 98 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 98 rated companies among the 230 Information Technology stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$4.14 – $6.91
vs. $90.90 today · implied CAGR -46% – -40%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $54.44B | $56.07B | $57.75B | $59.49B | $61.27B |
| Net income | $1.63B | $1.68B | $1.73B | $1.78B | $1.84B |
| EPS | $0.25 | $0.25 | $0.26 | $0.27 | $0.28 |
| Share price (low) | $3.68 | $3.79 | $3.91 | $4.02 | $4.14 |
| Share price (high) | $6.14 | $6.32 | $6.51 | $6.70 | $6.91 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -96% / -93% | -80% / -74% | -65% / -58% | -54% / -48% | -46% / -40% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions. Growth, margin or P/E data is missing for this stock, so some starting values above are placeholders rather than measurements.
Bull Case
- The only credible US-based leading-edge foundry alternative — geopolitics and subsidies work in its favor.
- New process nodes hitting on schedule would rebuild both margins and credibility.
- x86 franchises in PCs and servers still generate massive, defendable revenue.
Bear Case
- Negative net income and flat revenue mean the fundamentals don't yet support the story.
- Every quarter of foundry ramp burns cash while rivals compound leadership.
- Losing the AI-accelerator race to Nvidia/AMD left Intel exposed in computing's fastest-growing segment.
Key Risks
- Process-roadmap slips (the pattern of the last decade).
- Foundry customers hesitating to fund a competitor.
- Cash burn forcing dilution or asset sales.
Final Investment Thesis
Intel is a turnaround speculation, not a fundamentals investment yet — our model rates it Weak on current numbers. The monitorables are external foundry wins and gross-margin recovery. Only suited to risk-tolerant investors sized for the possibility the comeback stalls.
Analyst Ratings
What 55 Wall Street analysts covering INTC recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
INTC's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
INTC — frequently asked questions
Is INTC a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Intel Corporation Weak (23/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is INTC's rating on The Stocks School?
Intel Corporation currently scores 23/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does INTC's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Intel Corporation's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for INTC calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this INTC analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell INTC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.