ARM Arm Holdings PLC
$231.32
▼ 5.5%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
ARM at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Strong · 72/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 110.4% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$335.46B
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
11.9%
Revenue Growth
22.8%
EPS Growth
13.6%
Profit Margin
18.4%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0x
ROIC
8.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
5.25x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
8.7%
Rating Score
72/100
Business Overview
Arm Holdings PLC (ARM) is a mega-cap NASDAQ-listed company in the Semiconductors industry, within the Information Technology sector, with a market value around $335.46B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $4.92B in revenue and $904.00M in net profit.
Our model rates ARM Strong (72/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (5 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
96.6% average over the last 3 years
±0.9 pts around 96.2% across 5 years
grew in 3 of the last 4 year-over-year periods
positive in 5 of 5 years
8.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ARM's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ARM trades near $231.32, around its 50-day average ($301.32) and 200-day average ($178.03). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 40 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ARM's is $35.58 (~15.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, ARM found buyers near $298.38 (support) and sellers near $452.70 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $100.02–$452.70. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
16.2%
Revenue moved from $2.70B in 2022 to $4.92B in 2026, a 16.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 22.8% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
97.5%
Operating Margin
18.3%
Net Margin
18.4%
ROE
11.9%
Arm Holdings PLC keeps about 18.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 97.5% gross margin and 18.3% operating margin. Return on equity is 11.9% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.0x, with a current ratio of 5.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$1.52B
Free Cash Flow
$979.00M
FCF Margin
19.9%
In the latest year Arm Holdings PLC produced about $1.52B of operating cash flow and $979.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
—
P/S
68.18x
P/B
13.71x
EV / EBITDA
—
ARM trades at n/a trailing earnings, 68.2x sales, and 13.7x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 8.7% long-term free-cash-flow growth. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$38.10
Current price
$231.32
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$979.00M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where ARM sits versus the Information Technology companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How ARM stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 98 rated Information Technology companies we cover, ARM ranks #20 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 36.2x
ROE vs sector
11.9%
median 17.5%
Growth vs sector
22.8%
median 17.7%
Sector rank
#20
of 98 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 98 rated companies among the 230 Information Technology stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$20.63 – $34.38
vs. $231.32 today · implied CAGR -38% – -32%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.05B | $7.44B | $9.16B | $11.26B | $13.85B |
| Net income | $1.09B | $1.34B | $1.65B | $2.03B | $2.49B |
| EPS | $0.75 | $0.92 | $1.14 | $1.40 | $1.72 |
| Share price (low) | $9.01 | $11.09 | $13.64 | $16.77 | $20.63 |
| Share price (high) | $15.02 | $18.48 | $22.73 | $27.96 | $34.38 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -96% / -94% | -78% / -72% | -61% / -54% | -48% / -41% | -38% / -32% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions. Growth, margin or P/E data is missing for this stock, so some starting values above are placeholders rather than measurements.
Bull Case
The case for ARM:
- Revenue is growing 22.8% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (18.4%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.0x) lowers risk.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (72/100).
Bear Case
The case against ARM:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Arm Holdings PLC is a mega-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Strong (72/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 45 Wall Street analysts covering ARM recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-4 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
ARM's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
ARM — frequently asked questions
Is ARM a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Arm Holdings PLC Strong (72/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is ARM's rating on The Stocks School?
Arm Holdings PLC currently scores 72/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does ARM's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Arm Holdings PLC's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for ARM calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this ARM analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ARM. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.