ICE Intercontinental Exchange
$159.18
▲ 0.5%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
ICE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Strong · 72/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▼ Down 25.5% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$75.21B
P/E
22.74x
Forward P/E (est.)
16.25x
ROE
13.6%
Revenue Growth
7.3%
EPS Growth
42.2%
Profit Margin
30.1%
FCF Yield
4.5%
Debt / Equity
0.68x
ROIC
8.0%
Interest Coverage
6.1x
Current Ratio
1.01x
Dividend Yield
1.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.1%
Rating Score
72/100
Business Overview
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a large-cap company in the Financial Exchanges & Data industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $75.21B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $12.64B in revenue and $3.31B in net profit.
Our model rates ICE Strong (72/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
37.6% average over the last 3 years
±1.8 pts around 38.4% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
8.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ICE's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ICE trades near $159.18, above its 50-day average ($145.67) and 200-day average ($156.99). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ICE's is $4.37 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, ICE found buyers near $121.79 (support) and sellers near $144.49 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $121.79–$189.35. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
8.4%
Revenue moved from $5.97B in 2016 to $12.64B in 2025, a 8.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 7.3% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Profitability
Gross Margin
79.8%
Operating Margin
39.0%
Net Margin
26.2%
ROE
13.6%
Intercontinental Exchange keeps about 30.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 79.8% gross margin and 39.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 13.6% and return on invested capital about 8.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$18.12B
Net Debt
$17.05B
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.46x
Debt / Equity
0.68x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.7x, and operating profit covers interest about 6.1x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $18.12B of total debt against $1.07B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$4.66B
Free Cash Flow
$4.29B
FCF Margin
33.9%
In the latest year Intercontinental Exchange produced about $4.66B of operating cash flow and $4.29B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockThe payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
1.5%
Per share (latest FY)
$1.92
Total paid (latest FY)
$1.10B
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 26% of free cash flow
33% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 9 years in a row
no cuts in the last 10 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
22.74x
P/S
6.28x
P/B
3.6x
EV / EBITDA
—
ICE trades at 22.7x trailing earnings (about 16.2x on estimated forward earnings), 6.3x sales, and 3.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$157.86
Current price
$159.18
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$4.29B
Growth, years 1–5
7.3%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where ICE sits versus the Financials companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 141 Financials companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How ICE stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 141 rated Financials companies we cover, ICE ranks #30 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (22.7x P/E vs. 14.9x median) with a similar return on equity (13.6% vs. 13.6%) and slower revenue growth (7.3% vs. 15.9%).
P/E vs sector
22.7x
median 14.9x
ROE vs sector
13.6%
median 13.6%
Growth vs sector
7.3%
median 15.9%
Sector rank
#30
of 141 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 141 rated companies among the 289 Financials stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$136.58 – $224.39
vs. $159.18 today · implied CAGR -3% – 7%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.52B | $14.47B | $15.48B | $16.57B | $17.73B |
| Net income | $3.52B | $3.76B | $4.03B | $4.31B | $4.61B |
| EPS | $7.44 | $7.96 | $8.52 | $9.12 | $9.76 |
| Share price (low) | $104.20 | $111.49 | $119.30 | $127.65 | $136.58 |
| Share price (high) | $171.18 | $183.17 | $195.99 | $209.71 | $224.39 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -35% / 8% | -16% / 7% | -9% / 7% | -5% / 7% | -3% / 7% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for ICE:
- High net margins (30.1%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (72/100).
Bear Case
The case against ICE:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Intercontinental Exchange is a large-cap financials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 22.7x earnings, which our model scores Strong (72/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Latest SEC Filings
ICE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
ICE — frequently asked questions
Is ICE a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Intercontinental Exchange Strong (72/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is ICE's rating on The Stocks School?
Intercontinental Exchange currently scores 72/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does ICE's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Intercontinental Exchange's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for ICE calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this ICE analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ICE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.