FICO Fair Isaac
$760.36
▼ 1.2%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
FICO at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Strong · 76/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▼ Down 37.8% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$29.47B
P/E
23.07x
Forward P/E (est.)
16.97x
ROE
145.7%
Revenue Growth
22.6%
EPS Growth
35.9%
Profit Margin
33.7%
FCF Yield
1.5%
Debt / Equity
2.54x
ROIC
49.0%
Interest Coverage
8.75x
Current Ratio
1.18x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.2%
Rating Score
76/100
Business Overview
Fair Isaac (FICO) is a large-cap company in the Application Software industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $29.47B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $1.99B in revenue and $651.95M in net profit.
Our model rates FICO Strong (76/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
43.9% average over the last 3 years
±11.0 pts around 32.4% across 9 years
grew in 8 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 9 years
49.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what FICO's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. FICO trades near $760.36, below its 50-day average ($1,144.61) and 200-day average ($1,412.88). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 64 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. FICO's is $46.97 (~6.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, FICO found buyers near $1,065.69 (support) and sellers near $1,273.99 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $870.01–$1,998.01. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
10.9%
Revenue moved from $934.98M in 2017 to $1.99B in 2025, a 9.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 22.6% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
84.2%
Operating Margin
46.5%
Net Margin
32.7%
ROE
145.7%
Fair Isaac keeps about 33.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 84.2% gross margin and 46.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 145.7% and return on invested capital about 49.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$5.58B
Net Debt
$5.33B
Net Debt / EBITDA
5.77x
Debt / Equity
2.54x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 2.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 8.8x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $5.58B of total debt against $248.44M of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$778.81M
Free Cash Flow
$769.88M
FCF Margin
38.7%
In the latest year Fair Isaac produced about $778.81M of operating cash flow and $769.88M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 1.5% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
23.07x
P/S
13.73x
P/B
23.89x
EV / EBITDA
—
FICO trades at 23.1x trailing earnings (about 17.0x on estimated forward earnings), 13.7x sales, and 23.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$1,476.16
Current price
$760.36
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$769.88M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where FICO sits versus the Information Technology companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How FICO stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 98 rated Information Technology companies we cover, FICO ranks #16 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (23.1x P/E vs. 36.2x median) with a higher return on equity (145.7% vs. 17.5%) and faster revenue growth (22.6% vs. 17.7%).
P/E vs sector
23.1x
median 36.2x
ROE vs sector
145.7%
median 17.5%
Growth vs sector
22.6%
median 17.7%
Sector rank
#16
of 98 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 98 rated companies among the 230 Information Technology stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$668.07 – $1,097.55
vs. $760.36 today · implied CAGR -3% – 8%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.45B | $3.01B | $3.70B | $4.56B | $5.60B |
| Net income | $808.09M | $993.96M | $1.22B | $1.50B | $1.85B |
| EPS | $20.85 | $25.64 | $31.54 | $38.80 | $47.72 |
| Share price (low) | $291.88 | $359.01 | $441.58 | $543.15 | $668.07 |
| Share price (high) | $479.52 | $589.81 | $725.46 | $892.32 | $1,097.55 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -62% / -37% | -31% / -12% | -17% / -2% | -8% / 4% | -3% / 8% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for FICO:
- Revenue is growing 22.6% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (33.7%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (145.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Our model's overall read is Strong (76/100).
Bear Case
The case against FICO:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 2.5x) adds financial risk.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 2.5x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Fair Isaac is a large-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 23.1x earnings, which our model scores Strong (76/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 29 Wall Street analysts covering FICO recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+3 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
FICO's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
FICO — frequently asked questions
Is FICO a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Fair Isaac Strong (76/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is FICO's rating on The Stocks School?
Fair Isaac currently scores 76/100 (Strong) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does FICO's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Fair Isaac's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for FICO calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this FICO analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell FICO. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.