ADSK Autodesk
$238.61
▼ 2.7%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
ADSK at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Favorable · 70/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▼ Down 34.3% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$43.78B
P/E
34.7x
Forward P/E (est.)
24.78x
ROE
49.4%
Revenue Growth
18.3%
EPS Growth
46.5%
Profit Margin
19.5%
FCF Yield
2.4%
Debt / Equity
0.82x
ROIC
22.0%
Interest Coverage
19.73x
Current Ratio
0.83x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.3%
Rating Score
70/100
Business Overview
Autodesk (ADSK) is a large-cap company in the Application Software industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $43.78B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $7.21B in revenue and $1.12B in net profit.
Our model rates ADSK Favorable (70/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
90.8% average over the last 3 years
±2.6 pts around 89.2% across 10 years
grew in 9 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
22.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ADSK's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ADSK trades near $238.61, around its 50-day average ($225.27) and 200-day average ($264.01). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 52 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ADSK's is $8.21 (~3.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, ADSK found buyers near $185.50 (support) and sellers near $237.86 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $185.50–$329.09. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
13.2%
Revenue moved from $2.03B in 2017 to $7.21B in 2026, a 15.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 18.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
91.0%
Operating Margin
21.9%
Net Margin
15.6%
ROE
49.4%
Autodesk keeps about 19.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 91.0% gross margin and 21.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 49.4% and return on invested capital about 22.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$2.50B
Net Debt
-$171.00M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.11x
Debt / Equity
0.82x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 19.7x, with a current ratio of 0.8x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $2.50B of total debt against $2.67B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$2.45B
Free Cash Flow
$2.41B
FCF Margin
33.4%
In the latest year Autodesk produced about $2.45B of operating cash flow and $2.41B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.4% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
34.7x
P/S
5.95x
P/B
21.08x
EV / EBITDA
—
ADSK trades at 34.7x trailing earnings (about 24.8x on estimated forward earnings), 5.9x sales, and 21.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$431.24
Current price
$238.61
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$2.41B
Growth, years 1–5
18.3%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where ADSK sits versus the Information Technology companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How ADSK stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 98 rated Information Technology companies we cover, ADSK ranks #24 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (34.7x P/E vs. 36.2x median) with a higher return on equity (49.4% vs. 17.5%) and faster revenue growth (18.3% vs. 17.7%).
P/E vs sector
34.7x
median 36.2x
ROE vs sector
49.4%
median 17.5%
Growth vs sector
18.3%
median 17.7%
Sector rank
#24
of 98 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 98 rated companies among the 230 Information Technology stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$301.91 – $503.18
vs. $238.61 today · implied CAGR 5% – 16%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.50B | $10.03B | $11.84B | $13.97B | $16.49B |
| Net income | $1.36B | $1.61B | $1.89B | $2.24B | $2.64B |
| EPS | $7.42 | $8.75 | $10.33 | $12.18 | $14.38 |
| Share price (low) | $155.72 | $183.75 | $216.83 | $255.85 | $301.91 |
| Share price (high) | $259.53 | $306.25 | $361.38 | $426.42 | $503.18 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -35% / 9% | -12% / 13% | -3% / 15% | 2% / 16% | 5% / 16% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for ADSK:
- Revenue is growing 18.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (19.5%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (49.4%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (70/100).
Bear Case
The case against ADSK:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Valuation risk — at 34.7x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Autodesk is a large-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 34.7x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (70/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 43 Wall Street analysts covering ADSK recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-4 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
ADSK's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
ADSK — frequently asked questions
Is ADSK a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Autodesk Favorable (70/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is ADSK's rating on The Stocks School?
Autodesk currently scores 70/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does ADSK's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Autodesk's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for ADSK calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this ADSK analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ADSK. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.