DLTR
Dollar Tree
$113.93
▲ 2.0%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 14.5% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$21.46B
P/E
16.87x
Forward P/E (est.)
17.73x
ROE
35.9%
Revenue Growth
51.3%
EPS Growth
-4.8%
Profit Margin
6.5%
FCF Yield
8.2%
Debt / Equity
0.65x
ROIC
22.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.16x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.9%
Rating Score
69/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what DLTR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. DLTR trades near $113.93, above its 50-day average ($101.33) and 200-day average ($109.32). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. DLTR's is $4.86 (~4.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month DLTR found buyers near $88.26 (support) and sellers near $117.41 (resistance); its 52-week range is $84.71–$142.40. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Dollar Tree (DLTR) is a large-cap company in the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $21.46B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $19.40B in revenue and $1.28B in net profit.
Our model rates DLTR Favorable (69/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-7.3%
Revenue moved from $26.31B in 2022 to $19.40B in 2026, a -7.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 51.3% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
36.4%
Operating Margin
8.5%
Net Margin
6.6%
ROE
35.9%
Dollar Tree keeps about 6.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 36.4% gross margin and 8.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 35.9% and return on invested capital about 22.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$2.43B
Net Debt
$1.42B
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.86x
Debt / Equity
0.65x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $2.43B of total debt against $1.01B of cash.
Operating CF
$2.19B
Free Cash Flow
$1.06B
FCF Margin
5.4%
In the latest year Dollar Tree produced about $2.19B of operating cash flow and $1.06B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 8.2% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
16.87x
P/S
1.11x
P/B
6.26x
EV / EBITDA
9.87x
DLTR trades at 16.9x trailing earnings (about 17.7x on estimated forward earnings), 1.1x sales, and 6.3x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How DLTR stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (36 S&P 500 companies), DLTR ranks #2 of 36 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (16.9x P/E vs. 22.5x median) with a higher return on equity (35.9% vs. 20.2%) and faster revenue growth (51.3% vs. 3.0%).
P/E vs sector
16.9x
median 22.5x
ROE vs sector
35.9%
median 20.2%
Growth vs sector
51.3%
median 3.0%
Sector rank
#2
of 36 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 36 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$452.84 – $769.83
vs. $113.93 today · expected CAGR 32% – 47%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $28.12B | $40.78B | $59.13B | $85.74B | $124.32B |
| Net income | $1.97B | $2.85B | $4.14B | $6.00B | $8.70B |
| EPS | $10.24 | $14.85 | $21.54 | $31.23 | $45.28 |
| Share price (low) | $102.44 | $148.54 | $215.38 | $312.31 | $452.84 |
| Share price (high) | $174.15 | $252.52 | $366.15 | $530.92 | $769.83 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -10% / 53% | 14% / 49% | 24% / 48% | 29% / 47% | 32% / 47% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for DLTR:
- Revenue is growing 51.3% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (35.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~8.2%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (69/100).
The case against DLTR:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Dollar Tree is a large-cap consumer staples business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 16.9x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (69/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.