TGT
Target Corporation
$129.73
▼ 0.8%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 37.4% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$59.38B
P/E
17.21x
Forward P/E (est.)
20.67x
ROE
21.7%
Revenue Growth
0.5%
EPS Growth
-16.7%
Profit Margin
3.2%
FCF Yield
10.4%
Debt / Equity
1.03x
ROIC
13.0%
Interest Coverage
10.19x
Current Ratio
0.93x
Dividend Yield
3.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.0%
Rating Score
45/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TGT's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TGT trades near $129.73, above its 50-day average ($126.28) and 200-day average ($107.29). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 49 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TGT's is $3.68 (~2.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TGT found buyers near $117.05 (support) and sellers near $137.87 (resistance); its 52-week range is $83.44–$137.87. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Target Corporation (TGT) is a large-cap company in the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $59.38B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $104.78B in revenue and $3.71B in net profit.
Our model rates TGT Neutral (45/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-0.3%
Revenue moved from $106.00B in 2022 to $104.78B in 2026, a -0.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (0.5%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
28.1%
Operating Margin
4.9%
Net Margin
3.5%
ROE
21.7%
Target Corporation keeps about 3.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 28.1% gross margin and 4.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 21.7% and return on invested capital about 13.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$14.40B
Net Debt
$11.72B
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.29x
Debt / Equity
1.03x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 10.2x, with a current ratio of 0.9x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $14.40B of total debt against $2.68B of cash.
Operating CF
$6.56B
Free Cash Flow
$2.83B
FCF Margin
2.7%
In the latest year Target Corporation produced about $6.56B of operating cash flow and $2.83B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 10.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
17.21x
P/S
0.58x
P/B
3.01x
EV / EBITDA
8.76x
TGT trades at 17.2x trailing earnings (about 20.7x on estimated forward earnings), 0.6x sales, and 3.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How TGT stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (36 S&P 500 companies), TGT ranks #20 of 36 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (17.2x P/E vs. 22.5x median) with a higher return on equity (21.7% vs. 20.2%) and slower revenue growth (0.5% vs. 3.0%).
P/E vs sector
17.2x
median 22.5x
ROE vs sector
21.7%
median 20.2%
Growth vs sector
0.5%
median 3.0%
Sector rank
#20
of 36 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 36 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$106.98 – $181.86
vs. $129.73 today · expected CAGR -4% – 7%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $107.92B | $111.16B | $114.50B | $117.93B | $121.47B |
| Net income | $4.32B | $4.45B | $4.58B | $4.72B | $4.86B |
| EPS | $9.50 | $9.79 | $10.08 | $10.39 | $10.70 |
| Share price (low) | $95.05 | $97.90 | $100.84 | $103.86 | $106.98 |
| Share price (high) | $161.58 | $166.43 | $171.42 | $176.56 | $181.86 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -27% / 25% | -13% / 13% | -8% / 10% | -5% / 8% | -4% / 7% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TGT:
- Strong return on equity (21.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~10.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 3.5% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against TGT:
- Revenue growth is slow (0.5%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (3.2%) leave little room for error.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (0.5%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.2%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Target Corporation is a large-cap consumer staples business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 17.2x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (45/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.