Skip to content

SUZ

NYSE
Neutral · 44/100

Suzano SA

Paper & Forest
Paper & Forest

$8.25

0.1%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

SUZ at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 44/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 17.3% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$10.22B

P/E

4.49x

Forward P/E (est.)

5.28x

ROE

25.3%

Revenue Growth

0.1%

EPS Growth

-14.9%

Profit Margin

23.0%

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

2.32x

ROIC

6.0%

Interest Coverage

1.55x

Current Ratio

3.19x

Dividend Yield

2.7%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

-13.9%

Rating Score

44/100

Business Overview
Research

Suzano SA (SUZ) is a large-cap company in the Paper & Forest industry, part of the Paper & Forest sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.22B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $10.02B in revenue and $2.69B in net profit.

Our model rates SUZ Neutral (44/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Narrow moat signalsMoat evidence score: 49/100

Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.

Gross margin level43/100

37.2% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability0/100

±8.8 pts around 39.0% across 10 years

Revenue durability89/100

grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital5/100

6.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what SUZ's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. SUZ trades near $8.25, below its 50-day average ($8.36) and 200-day average ($9.27). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 40 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. SUZ's is $0.21 (~2.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month SUZ found buyers near $7.55 (support) and sellers near $8.60 (resistance); its 52-week range is $7.55–$11.53. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

5.2%

1/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $1.97B in 2016 to $10.02B in 2025, a 19.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (0.1%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
3/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

32.4%

Operating Margin

21.2%

Net Margin

26.8%

ROE

25.3%

Suzano SA keeps about 23.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 32.4% gross margin and 21.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 25.3% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research
1/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$18.36B

Net Debt

$15.32B

Net Debt / EBITDA

7.19x

Debt / Equity

2.32x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 2.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 1.6x, with a current ratio of 3.2x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $18.36B of total debt against $3.04B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
1/1 checks passedMarket expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$3.63B

Free Cash Flow

$2.71B

FCF Margin

27.1%

In the latest year Suzano SA produced about $3.63B of operating cash flow and $2.71B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 55/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

2.7%

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.13M

History on record

5 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 0% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

0% of net income paid out

Raise streak0/100

no current raise streak

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 5 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

4.49x

P/S

1.02x

P/B

1.47x

EV / EBITDA

5.82x

SUZ trades at 4.5x trailing earnings (about 5.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.0x sales, and 1.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -13.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$29.48

Current price

$8.25

+257% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$2.71B

Growth, years 1–5

0.1%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$17.70B
PV of terminal value$19.57B
Estimated equity value$37.27B
Shares outstanding1.26B

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
4.5xCheap
Forward P/E
5.3xCheap
P/S ratio
1.0xCheap
Revenue growth
0.1%Weak
EPS growth
-14.9%Weak
Gross margin
32.4%Weak
Net margin
23.0%Strong
ROE
25.3%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $8.25 today · expected CAGR 9%20%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$10.32B$10.63B$10.95B$11.28B$11.62B
Net income$2.79B$2.87B$2.96B$3.05B$3.14B
EPS$2.25$2.32$2.39$2.46$2.53
Share price (low)$11.25$11.59$11.94$12.30$12.67
Share price (high)$18.01$18.55$19.10$19.68$20.27
CAGR (low–high)36% / 118%19% / 50%13% / 32%10% / 24%9% / 20%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for SUZ:

  • High net margins (23.0%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (25.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Pays a 2.7% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against SUZ:

  • Revenue growth is slow (0.1%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 2.3x) adds financial risk.
  • Interest coverage is thin (1.6x), so debt costs bite.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 2.3x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (0.1%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Suzano SA is a large-cap paper & forest business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 4.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (44/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 22 Wall Street analysts covering SUZ recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.1 / 5 across 22 analysts
Strong Buy 5Buy 15Hold 2Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-5 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

SUZ's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

SUZ — frequently asked questions

Is SUZ a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Suzano SA Neutral (44/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is SUZ's rating on The Stocks School?

Suzano SA currently scores 44/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does SUZ's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Suzano SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for SUZ calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this SUZ analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell SUZ. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.