SUZ Suzano SA
$8.49
▲ 1.7%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
SUZ at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Neutral · 44/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▼ Down 17.3% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$10.22B
P/E
4.49x
Forward P/E (est.)
5.28x
ROE
25.3%
Revenue Growth
0.1%
EPS Growth
-14.9%
Profit Margin
23.0%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
2.32x
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
1.55x
Current Ratio
3.19x
Dividend Yield
2.7%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-13.9%
Rating Score
44/100
Business Overview
Suzano SA (SUZ) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Paper & Forest industry, within the Paper & Forest sector, with a market value around $10.22B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $10.02B in revenue and $2.69B in net profit.
Our model rates SUZ Neutral (44/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedSome durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
37.2% average over the last 3 years
±8.8 pts around 39.0% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 10 of 10 years
6.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what SUZ's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. SUZ trades near $8.49, around its 50-day average ($8.36) and 200-day average ($9.27). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 40 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. SUZ's is $0.21 (~2.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, SUZ found buyers near $7.55 (support) and sellers near $8.60 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $7.55–$11.53. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.5× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
5.2%
Revenue moved from $1.97B in 2016 to $10.02B in 2025, a 19.8% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (0.1%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Profitability
Gross Margin
32.4%
Operating Margin
21.2%
Net Margin
26.8%
ROE
25.3%
Suzano SA keeps about 23.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 32.4% gross margin and 21.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 25.3% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$18.36B
Net Debt
$15.32B
Net Debt / EBITDA
7.19x
Debt / Equity
2.32x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 2.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 1.6x, with a current ratio of 3.2x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $18.36B of total debt against $3.04B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$3.63B
Free Cash Flow
$2.71B
FCF Margin
27.1%
In the latest year Suzano SA produced about $3.63B of operating cash flow and $2.71B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockThe dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
2.7%
Total paid (latest FY)
$1.13M
History on record
5 years
dividend uses 0% of free cash flow
0% of net income paid out
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 5 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
4.49x
P/S
1.02x
P/B
1.47x
EV / EBITDA
5.82x
SUZ trades at 4.5x trailing earnings (about 5.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.0x sales, and 1.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -13.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$29.48
Current price
$8.49
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$2.71B
Growth, years 1–5
0.1%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Typical Range
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$13.03 – $20.86
vs. $8.49 today · implied CAGR 9% – 20%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.32B | $10.63B | $10.95B | $11.28B | $11.62B |
| Net income | $2.79B | $2.87B | $2.96B | $3.05B | $3.14B |
| EPS | $2.32 | $2.39 | $2.46 | $2.53 | $2.61 |
| Share price (low) | $11.58 | $11.93 | $12.29 | $12.66 | $13.03 |
| Share price (high) | $18.53 | $19.09 | $19.66 | $20.25 | $20.86 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 36% / 118% | 19% / 50% | 13% / 32% | 10% / 24% | 9% / 20% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for SUZ:
- High net margins (23.0%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (25.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Pays a 2.7% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case
The case against SUZ:
- Revenue growth is slow (0.1%), limiting the upside engine.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 2.3x) adds financial risk.
- Interest coverage is thin (1.6x), so debt costs bite.
Key Risks
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 2.3x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (0.1%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the picture is mixed: Suzano SA is a large-cap paper & forest business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 4.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (44/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 23 Wall Street analysts covering SUZ recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
SUZ's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
SUZ — frequently asked questions
Is SUZ a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Suzano SA Neutral (44/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is SUZ's rating on The Stocks School?
Suzano SA currently scores 44/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does SUZ's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Suzano SA's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for SUZ calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this SUZ analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell SUZ. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.