PYPL PayPal
$57.00
▼ 0.3%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
PYPL at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Favorable · 66/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▼ Down 38.0% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$40.11B
P/E
9.94x
Forward P/E (est.)
8.3x
ROE
25.1%
Revenue Growth
5.8%
EPS Growth
19.8%
Profit Margin
15.0%
FCF Yield
10.0%
Debt / Equity
0.56x
ROIC
16.0%
Interest Coverage
17.48x
Current Ratio
1.26x
Dividend Yield
1.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-4.3%
Rating Score
66/100
Business Overview
PayPal (PYPL) is a large-cap company in the Transaction & Payment Processing Services industry, part of the Financials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $40.11B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $33.17B in revenue and $5.23B in net profit.
Our model rates PYPL Favorable (66/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (8 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedThe filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.
17.3% average over the last 3 years
±1.4 pts around 15.9% across 8 years
grew in 7 of the last 7 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 8 years
16.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PYPL's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PYPL trades near $57.00, above its 50-day average ($44.88) and 200-day average ($53.77). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 68 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PYPL's is $1.47 (~2.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, PYPL found buyers near $40.20 (support) and sellers near $45.49 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $38.46–$79.50. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
6.9%
Revenue moved from $15.45B in 2018 to $33.17B in 2025, a 11.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 5.8% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Profitability
Gross Margin
40.9%
Operating Margin
18.3%
Net Margin
15.8%
ROE
25.1%
PayPal keeps about 15.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 40.9% gross margin and 18.3% operating margin. Return on equity is 25.1% and return on invested capital about 16.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$10.88B
Net Debt
$3.90B
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.64x
Debt / Equity
0.56x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 17.5x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $10.88B of total debt against $6.98B of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$6.42B
Free Cash Flow
$5.56B
FCF Margin
16.8%
In the latest year PayPal produced about $6.42B of operating cash flow and $5.56B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 10.0% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
9.94x
P/S
1.16x
P/B
3.52x
EV / EBITDA
—
PYPL trades at 9.9x trailing earnings (about 8.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.2x sales, and 3.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -4.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$119.81
Current price
$57.00
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$5.56B
Growth, years 1–5
5.8%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where PYPL sits versus the Financials companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 141 Financials companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How PYPL stacks up against its Financials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 141 rated Financials companies we cover, PYPL ranks #60 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (9.9x P/E vs. 14.9x median) with a higher return on equity (25.1% vs. 13.6%) and slower revenue growth (5.8% vs. 15.9%).
P/E vs sector
9.9x
median 14.9x
ROE vs sector
25.1%
median 13.6%
Growth vs sector
5.8%
median 15.9%
Sector rank
#60
of 141 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Financials companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 141 rated companies among the 289 Financials stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$60.56 – $100.94
vs. $57.00 today · implied CAGR 1% – 12%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $35.16B | $37.27B | $39.51B | $41.88B | $44.39B |
| Net income | $5.63B | $5.96B | $6.32B | $6.70B | $7.10B |
| EPS | $8.00 | $8.47 | $8.98 | $9.52 | $10.09 |
| Share price (low) | $47.97 | $50.85 | $53.90 | $57.13 | $60.56 |
| Share price (high) | $79.95 | $84.75 | $89.83 | $95.22 | $100.94 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -16% / 40% | -6% / 22% | -2% / 16% | 0% / 14% | 1% / 12% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for PYPL:
- High net margins (15.0%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (25.1%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~10.0%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Our model's overall read is Favorable (66/100).
Bear Case
The case against PYPL:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: PayPal is a large-cap financials business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 9.9x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (66/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Latest SEC Filings
PYPL's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
In the Idea Lab
PYPL — frequently asked questions
Is PYPL a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates PayPal Favorable (66/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is PYPL's rating on The Stocks School?
PayPal currently scores 66/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does PYPL's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from PayPal's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for PYPL calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this PYPL analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell PYPL. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.