NVR
NVR, Inc.
$6,352.55
▼ 2.1%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 7.0% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$17.52B
P/E
14.25x
Forward P/E (est.)
16.88x
ROE
32.7%
Revenue Growth
-7.7%
EPS Growth
-15.6%
Profit Margin
12.5%
FCF Yield
7.5%
Debt / Equity
0.25x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
2.6%
Rating Score
55/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NVR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NVR trades near $6,352.55, around its 50-day average ($6,281.14) and 200-day average ($7,179.76). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 55 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NVR's is $168.64 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month NVR found buyers near $5,691.50 (support) and sellers near $6,547.31 (resistance); its 52-week range is $5,501.01–$8,618.28. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.9× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
NVR, Inc. (NVR) is a large-cap company in the Homebuilding industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $17.52B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $10.32B in revenue and $1.34B in net profit.
Our model rates NVR Neutral (55/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
3.6%
Revenue moved from $8.95B in 2021 to $10.32B in 2025, a 3.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 7.7% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
23.5%
Operating Margin
16.5%
Net Margin
13.0%
ROE
32.7%
NVR, Inc. keeps about 12.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 23.5% gross margin and 16.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 32.7%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$600.12M
Net Debt
-$2.21B
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.25x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $600.12M of total debt against $2.81B of cash.
Operating CF
$1.12B
Free Cash Flow
$1.10B
FCF Margin
10.6%
In the latest year NVR, Inc. produced about $1.12B of operating cash flow and $1.10B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 7.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
14.25x
P/S
1.68x
P/B
5.4x
EV / EBITDA
—
NVR trades at 14.3x trailing earnings (about 16.9x on estimated forward earnings), 1.7x sales, and 5.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 2.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How NVR stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), NVR ranks #22 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (14.3x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a lower return on equity (32.7% vs. 39.2%) and slower revenue growth (-7.7% vs. 6.2%).
P/E vs sector
14.3x
median 23.7x
ROE vs sector
32.7%
median 39.2%
Growth vs sector
-7.7%
median 6.2%
Sector rank
#22
of 48 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$4,611.22 – $8,069.64
vs. $6,352.55 today · expected CAGR -6% – 5%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.63B | $10.95B | $11.28B | $11.62B | $11.97B |
| Net income | $1.38B | $1.42B | $1.47B | $1.51B | $1.56B |
| EPS | $512.13 | $527.49 | $543.31 | $559.61 | $576.40 |
| Share price (low) | $4,097.01 | $4,219.92 | $4,346.52 | $4,476.91 | $4,611.22 |
| Share price (high) | $7,169.77 | $7,384.86 | $7,606.41 | $7,834.60 | $8,069.64 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -36% / 13% | -18% / 8% | -12% / 6% | -8% / 5% | -6% / 5% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for NVR:
- Strong return on equity (32.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~7.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
The case against NVR:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-7.7%), limiting the upside engine.
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-7.7%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: NVR, Inc. is a large-cap consumer discretionary business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 14.3x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (55/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.