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NOK

NYSE
Weak · 39/100

Nokia Oyj

Communication Services
Communications

$10.63

5.5%

Updated Today 3:42 PM ET

Report Card

NOK at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Weak · 39/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 141.6% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$67.33B

P/E

65.13x

Forward P/E (est.)

55.73x

ROE

3.8%

Revenue Growth

4.3%

EPS Growth

16.9%

Profit Margin

3.9%

FCF Yield

7.0%

Debt / Equity

0.21x

ROIC

3.0%

Interest Coverage

3.6x

Current Ratio

1.58x

Dividend Yield

1.3%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.5%

Rating Score

39/100

Business Overview
Research

Nokia Oyj (NOK) is a large-cap company in the Communications industry, part of the Communication Services sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $67.33B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $21.48B in revenue and $703.08M in net profit.

Our model rates NOK Weak (39/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 34/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Gross margin level58/100

43.4% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability59/100

±3.3 pts around 39.8% across 10 years

Revenue durability8/100

grew in 4 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency40/100

positive in 7 of 10 years

Return on invested capital0/100

3.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NOK's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NOK trades near $10.63, around its 50-day average ($13.80) and 200-day average ($8.64). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 32 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NOK's is $0.83 (~7.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month NOK found buyers near $11.90 (support) and sellers near $15.67 (resistance); its 52-week range is $4.00–$17.45. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.3× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

-2.7%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $25.53B in 2016 to $21.48B in 2025, a -1.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.3%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
1/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

43.5%

Operating Margin

4.4%

Net Margin

3.3%

ROE

3.8%

Nokia Oyj keeps about 3.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 43.5% gross margin and 4.4% operating margin. Return on equity is 3.8% and return on invested capital about 3.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$2.52B

Net Debt

-$3.38B

Net cash position

Net Debt / EBITDA

-3.54x

Debt / Equity

0.21x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 3.6x, with a current ratio of 1.6x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $2.52B of total debt against $5.90B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.24B

Free Cash Flow

$1.58B

FCF Margin

7.4%

In the latest year Nokia Oyj produced about $2.24B of operating cash flow and $1.58B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 7.0% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

At RiskSafety score: 43/100

Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.

Dividend yield

1.3%

Per share (latest FY)

$0.12

Total paid (latest FY)

$819.72M

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage80/100

dividend uses 52% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio0/100

117% of net income paid out

Raise streak50/100

total dividends increased 4 years in a row

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

65.13x

P/S

3.03x

P/B

1.25x

EV / EBITDA

29.55x

NOK trades at 65.1x trailing earnings (about 55.7x on estimated forward earnings), 3.0x sales, and 1.3x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.5% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$4.82

Current price

$10.63

-55% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.58B

Growth, years 1–5

4.3%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$12.40B
PV of terminal value$15.27B
Estimated equity value$27.68B
Shares outstanding5.74B

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where NOK sits versus its Communication Services sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
65.1xExpensive
Forward P/E
55.7xExpensive
P/S ratio
3.0xFair
Revenue growth
4.3%Average
EPS growth
16.9%Average
Gross margin
43.5%Average
Net margin
3.9%Weak
ROE
3.8%Weak

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 44 Communication Services companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How NOK stacks up against its Communication Services peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Communication Services sector (95 S&P 500 companies), NOK ranks #32 of 95 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (65.1x P/E vs. 18.1x median) with a lower return on equity (3.8% vs. 14.9%) and slower revenue growth (4.3% vs. 5.3%).

P/E vs sector

65.1x

median 18.1x

ROE vs sector

3.8%

median 14.9%

Growth vs sector

4.3%

median 5.3%

Sector rank

#32

of 95 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
NOKThis stock65.1x4.3%Weak· 39
ERIC12.2x-7.4%Neutral· 54
UI33.8x33.3%Strong· 81
AAOINot rated
ADTNNot rated
DGIINot rated
EXTRNot rated
HLITNot rated
Communication Services median18.1x5.3%0/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianERICUINOKP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Communication Services companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 95 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $10.63 today · expected CAGR -15%-5%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$22.34B$23.23B$24.16B$25.13B$26.13B
Net income$670.18M$696.99M$724.87M$753.86M$784.02M
EPS$0.11$0.11$0.11$0.12$0.12
Share price (low)$4.13$4.29$4.46$4.64$4.83
Share price (high)$6.88$7.15$7.44$7.74$8.05
CAGR (low–high)-61% / -35%-36% / -18%-25% / -11%-19% / -8%-15% / -5%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for NOK:

  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~7.0%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.2x) lowers risk.
Bear Case

The case against NOK:

  • Thin net margins (3.9%) leave little room for error.
  • A rich 65.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
  • Our model's overall read is Weak (39/100).
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 65.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Margin risk — thin profitability (3.9%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Nokia Oyj is a large-cap communication services business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 65.1x earnings, which our model scores Weak (39/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 35 Wall Street analysts covering NOK recommend (July 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Hold
consensus · score 3.4 / 5 across 35 analysts
Strong Buy 6Buy 12Hold 10Sell 3Strong Sell 4

Latest SEC Filings

NOK's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

NOK — frequently asked questions

Is NOK a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Nokia Oyj Weak (39/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is NOK's rating on The Stocks School?

Nokia Oyj currently scores 39/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does NOK's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Nokia Oyj's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for NOK calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this NOK analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NOK. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.