GWRE Guidewire Software Inc
$167.03
▼ 5.0%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
GWRE at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Neutral · 52/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▼ Down 40.8% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$11.20B
P/E
70.53x
Forward P/E (est.)
50.38x
ROE
11.0%
Revenue Growth
24.9%
EPS Growth
364.6%
Profit Margin
11.3%
FCF Yield
-0.8%
Debt / Equity
0.46x
ROIC
2.0%
Interest Coverage
3.11x
Current Ratio
2.44x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.2%
Rating Score
52/100
Business Overview
Guidewire Software Inc (GWRE) is a large-cap NYSE-listed company in the Technology industry, within the Information Technology sector, with a market value around $11.20B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $1.20B in revenue.
Our model rates GWRE Neutral (52/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Economic Moat
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
Profit margins and economic moats, explainedSome durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
57.6% average over the last 3 years
±5.1 pts around 55.3% across 9 years
grew in 8 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 9 years
2.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what GWRE's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. GWRE trades near $167.03, around its 50-day average ($132.00) and 200-day average ($172.46). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 62 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. GWRE's is $6.72 (~4.0% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, GWRE found buyers near $102.30 (support) and sellers near $146.80 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $102.30–$272.60. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.1× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
12.8%
Revenue moved from $509.53M in 2017 to $1.20B in 2025, a 11.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 24.9% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
62.5%
Operating Margin
3.4%
Net Margin
11.3%
ROE
11.0%
Guidewire Software Inc keeps about 11.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 62.5% gross margin and 3.4% operating margin. Return on equity is 11.0% and return on invested capital about 2.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$398.90M
Net Debt
$104.27M
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.54x
Debt / Equity
0.46x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 3.1x, with a current ratio of 2.4x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $398.90M of total debt against $294.63M of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$300.87M
Free Cash Flow
$295.13M
FCF Margin
24.5%
In the latest year Guidewire Software Inc produced about $300.87M of operating cash flow and $295.13M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about -0.8% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
70.53x
P/S
9.31x
P/B
13.16x
EV / EBITDA
—
GWRE trades at 70.5x trailing earnings (about 50.4x on estimated forward earnings), 9.3x sales, and 13.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.2% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
DCF Fair Value (Educational)
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
How this DCF estimate is calculatedDCF fair value / share
$146.79
Current price
$167.03
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$295.13M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where GWRE sits versus the Information Technology companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How GWRE stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 98 rated Information Technology companies we cover, GWRE ranks #61 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (70.5x P/E vs. 36.2x median) with a lower return on equity (11.0% vs. 17.5%) and faster revenue growth (24.9% vs. 17.7%).
P/E vs sector
70.5x
median 36.2x
ROE vs sector
11.0%
median 17.5%
Growth vs sector
24.9%
median 17.7%
Sector rank
#61
of 98 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 98 rated companies among the 230 Information Technology stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$258.96 – $427.59
vs. $167.03 today · implied CAGR 9% – 21%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.50B | $1.88B | $2.35B | $2.94B | $3.67B |
| Net income | $165.34M | $206.67M | $258.34M | $322.93M | $403.66M |
| EPS | $2.47 | $3.08 | $3.85 | $4.82 | $6.02 |
| Share price (low) | $106.07 | $132.59 | $165.73 | $207.17 | $258.96 |
| Share price (high) | $175.14 | $218.92 | $273.65 | $342.07 | $427.59 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -36% / 5% | -11% / 14% | -0% / 18% | 6% / 20% | 9% / 21% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for GWRE:
- Revenue is growing 24.9% a year, a sign of real demand.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.5x) lowers risk.
Bear Case
The case against GWRE:
- A rich 70.5x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Limited free cash flow at today's price.
Key Risks
Valuation risk — at 70.5x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the picture is mixed: Guidewire Software Inc is a large-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 70.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (52/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Latest SEC Filings
GWRE's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
GWRE — frequently asked questions
Is GWRE a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Guidewire Software Inc Neutral (52/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is GWRE's rating on The Stocks School?
Guidewire Software Inc currently scores 52/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does GWRE's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Guidewire Software Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for GWRE calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this GWRE analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell GWRE. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.