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EBAY eBay Inc.

S&P 500
Neutral · 57/100
Consumer Discretionary
Broadline Retail

$120.06

▼ 2.3%

Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET

Report Card

EBAY at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

How the 0–100 rating is calculated
Value
61
Growth
48
Profitability
73
Health
37
Dividends
32

Overall: Neutral · 57/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 39.6% in the year to Jul 6, 2026

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · chart data as of Jul 6, 2026

Key Metrics

Market Cap

$50.99B

P/E

26.61x

Forward P/E (est.)

25.3x

ROE

44.1%

Revenue Growth

12.5%

EPS Growth

5.2%

Profit Margin

17.6%

FCF Yield

5.3%

Debt / Equity

1.46x

ROIC

15.0%

Interest Coverage

8.66x

Current Ratio

1.02x

Dividend Yield

1.1%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

6.0%

Rating Score

57/100

Business Overview

Research

eBay Inc. (EBAY) is a large-cap company in the Broadline Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $50.99B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $11.10B in revenue and $2.03B in net profit.

Our model rates EBAY Neutral (57/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Profit margins and economic moats, explained
Wide moat signalsMoat evidence score: 72/100

The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.

Gross margin level100/100

71.8% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability62/100

±3.0 pts around 75.4% across 10 years

Revenue durability48/100

grew in 6 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital50/100

15.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)

Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what EBAY's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. EBAY trades near $120.06, above its 50-day average ($109.10) and 200-day average ($94.32). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 63 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. EBAY's is $3.15 (~2.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, EBAY found buyers near $104.88 (support) and sellers near $115.98 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $75.12–$119.31. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.

Revenue Growth

Research
How to read an income statement

4Y CAGR

1.6%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $9.30B in 2016 to $11.10B in 2025, a 2.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 12.5% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability

Research
What profit margins tell you
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

71.5%

Operating Margin

20.5%

Net Margin

18.3%

ROE

44.1%

eBay Inc. keeps about 17.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 71.5% gross margin and 20.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 44.1% and return on invested capital about 15.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis

Research
3/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$7.72B

Net Debt

$5.41B

Net Debt / EBITDA

2.38x

Debt / Equity

1.46x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.5x, and operating profit covers interest about 8.7x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $7.72B of total debt against $2.31B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis

Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$1.96B

Free Cash Flow

$1.43B

FCF Margin

12.9%

In the latest year eBay Inc. produced about $1.96B of operating cash flow and $1.43B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

What to look for in a dividend stock
BorderlineSafety score: 55/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

1.1%

Total paid (latest FY)

$531.00M

History on record

7 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 37% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

26% of net income paid out

Raise streak0/100

no current raise streak

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 7 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis

Research
What is a reasonable P/E ratio?
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

26.61x

P/S

4.45x

P/B

9.37x

EV / EBITDA

—

EBAY trades at 26.6x trailing earnings (about 25.3x on estimated forward earnings), 4.5x sales, and 9.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

How this DCF estimate is calculated

DCF fair value / share

$89.06

Current price

$120.06

-26% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.43B

Growth, years 1–5

12.5%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$16.05B
PV of terminal value$23.59B
Estimated equity value$39.63B
Shares outstanding445M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where EBAY sits versus the Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.

TTM P/E
26.6xFair
Forward P/E
25.3xFair
P/S ratio
4.5xExpensive
Revenue growth
12.5%Average
EPS growth
5.2%Average
Gross margin
71.5%Strong
Net margin
17.6%Strong
ROE
44.1%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How EBAY stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

Among the 85 rated Consumer Discretionary companies we cover, EBAY ranks #27 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (26.6x P/E vs. 24.6x median) with a higher return on equity (44.1% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (12.5% vs. 6.8%).

P/E vs sector

26.6x

median 24.6x

ROE vs sector

44.1%

median 26.2%

Growth vs sector

12.5%

median 6.8%

Sector rank

#27

of 85 rated

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
EBAYThis stock26.6x12.5%Neutral· 57
AZO20.4x5.7%Neutral· 50
F—3.8%Weak· 22
GRMN31.7x15.7%Favorable· 68
CMG27.1x5.7%Neutral· 55
DHI12.4x-5.6%Neutral· 47
YUM26x9.7%Favorable· 58
VIK36.9x20.8%Favorable· 67
Consumer Discretionary median24.6x6.8%50/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianAZOGRMNCMGDHIYUMVIKEBAYP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 85 rated companies among the 158 Consumer Discretionary stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

What drives this projection, and its limits

2030 scenario price range (Base Case)

$138.69 – $234.03

vs. $120.06 today · implied CAGR 3% – 14%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$12.54B$14.17B$16.02B$18.10B$20.45B
Net income$2.26B$2.55B$2.88B$3.26B$3.68B
EPS$5.32$6.01$6.79$7.67$8.67
Share price (low)$85.06$96.12$108.61$122.73$138.69
Share price (high)$143.54$162.20$183.28$207.11$234.03
CAGR (low–high)-29% / 20%-11% / 16%-3% / 15%1% / 15%3% / 14%

Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for EBAY:

  • Revenue is growing 12.5% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • High net margins (17.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (44.1%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.

Bear Case

The case against EBAY:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.

Key Risks

Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.5x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis

Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: eBay Inc. is a large-cap consumer discretionary business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 26.6x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (57/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 39 Wall Street analysts covering EBAY recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Hold
consensus · score 3.5 / 5 across 39 analysts
Strong Buy 6Buy 11Hold 20Sell 1Strong Sell 1

Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

EBAY's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K

In the Idea Lab

EBAY — frequently asked questions

Is EBAY a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates eBay Inc. Neutral (57/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is EBAY's rating on The Stocks School?

eBay Inc. currently scores 57/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work →
Where does EBAY's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from eBay Inc.'s SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for EBAY calculated?

It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this EBAY analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell EBAY. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.