VTR Ventas
$85.59
▲ 0.9%Updated Oct 16, 2:25 PM ET
Report Card
VTR at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
How the 0–100 rating is calculatedOverall: Neutral · 44/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
Price — Past Year
▲ Up 30.1% in the year to Jul 6, 2026
Key Metrics
Market Cap
$40.78B
P/E
171.99x
Forward P/E (est.)
122.85x
ROE
2.0%
Revenue Growth
20.7%
EPS Growth
66.7%
Profit Margin
4.3%
FCF Yield
3.8%
Debt / Equity
1.01x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.4%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
—
Rating Score
44/100
Business Overview
Ventas (VTR) is a large-cap company in the Health Care REITs industry, part of the Real Estate sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $40.78B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $5.83B in revenue.
Our model rates VTR Neutral (44/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical Analysis (Educational)
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what VTR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. VTR trades near $85.59, around its 50-day average ($85.78) and 200-day average ($80.19). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 76 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. VTR's is $1.94 (~2.3% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. In the month to Jul 6, 2026, VTR found buyers near $78.08 (support) and sellers near $92.86 (resistance); its 52-week range then was $61.93–$92.86. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.4× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. The indicators were last computed on Jul 6, 2026; the price is current.
Revenue Growth
4Y CAGR
11.1%
Revenue moved from $3.44B in 2016 to $5.83B in 2025, a 6.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 20.7% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Profitability
Gross Margin
40.7%
Operating Margin
13.9%
Net Margin
4.3%
ROE
2.0%
Ventas keeps about 4.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 40.7% gross margin and 13.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 2.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Debt Analysis
Total Debt
$13.01B
Net Debt
$12.81B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
1.01x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.0x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $13.01B of total debt against $198.96M of cash.
Cash Flow Analysis
Operating CF
$1.65B
Free Cash Flow
-$1.28B
FCF Margin
-22.0%
In the latest year Ventas produced about $1.65B of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 3.8% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Dividend Safety
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
What to look for in a dividend stockCoverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
2.4%
Per share (latest FY)
$1.92
Total paid (latest FY)
$860.06M
History on record
10 years
free cash flow was negative in the latest year — the dividend is being financed
total dividends increased 4 years in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
Valuation Analysis
P/E
171.99x
P/S
6.99x
P/B
3.23x
EV / EBITDA
—
VTR trades at 172.0x trailing earnings (about 122.9x on estimated forward earnings), 7.0x sales, and 3.2x book value. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Metrics vs. Sector Range
Where VTR sits versus the Real Estate companies we cover.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 33 Real Estate companies in our coverage that have fundamentals data — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
Sector Peer Comparison
How VTR stacks up against its Real Estate peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
Among the 33 rated Real Estate companies we cover, VTR ranks #24 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (172x P/E vs. 29.9x median) with a lower return on equity (2.0% vs. 8.0%) and faster revenue growth (20.7% vs. 5.3%).
P/E vs sector
172x
median 29.9x
ROE vs sector
2.0%
median 8.0%
Growth vs sector
20.7%
median 5.3%
Sector rank
#24
of 33 rated
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Real Estate companies by sub-industry and size, preferring ones with full data. Sector medians and rank use the 33 rated companies among the 41 Real Estate stocks we cover. Educational, not a recommendation.
5-Year Projection Model
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
What drives this projection, and its limits2030 scenario price range (Base Case)
$130.83 – $218.48
vs. $85.59 today · implied CAGR 9% – 21%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.06B | $8.54B | $10.34B | $12.51B | $15.13B |
| Net income | $282.36M | $341.66M | $413.41M | $500.23M | $605.27M |
| EPS | $0.59 | $0.72 | $0.87 | $1.05 | $1.27 |
| Share price (low) | $61.03 | $73.85 | $89.36 | $108.13 | $130.83 |
| Share price (high) | $101.92 | $123.32 | $149.22 | $180.56 | $218.48 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -29% / 19% | -7% / 20% | 1% / 20% | 6% / 21% | 9% / 21% |
Educational scenario model, not a forecast or investment advice. It starts from the latest annual revenue in SEC filings. By default, growth is trailing revenue growth (held between 3% and 45% a year), the net margin is the latest one (held between 3% and 50%, so a loss-making company is modeled with a small profit), and the Base case P/E runs from 60% to 100% of today's. Carrying recent growth forward five years can miss badly in either direction. Outputs are only as good as the assumptions.
Bull Case
The case for VTR:
- Revenue is growing 20.7% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Pays a 2.4% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case
The case against VTR:
- Thin net margins (4.3%) leave little room for error.
- A rich 172.0x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
Key Risks
Valuation risk — at 172.0x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (4.3%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
Investment Thesis
On balance, the picture is mixed: Ventas is a large-cap real estate business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 172.0x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (44/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 27 Wall Street analysts covering VTR recommend (September 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-3 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
VTR's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen. How to read a 10-K
VTR — frequently asked questions
Is VTR a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Ventas Neutral (44/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is VTR's rating on The Stocks School?
Ventas currently scores 44/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does VTR's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Ventas's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for VTR calculated?
It's a scenario model. It starts from the latest annual revenue and net margin in SEC filings, grows revenue at an assumed rate (trailing revenue growth by default), and applies a P/E range built around today's multiple to show the resulting share-price range. When a stock has no growth or P/E data, the starting values are placeholders. It's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this VTR analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell VTR. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.