NRG
NRG Energy
$138.91
▲ 2.9%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 11.5% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$28.50B
P/E
120.58x
Forward P/E (est.)
172.26x
ROE
8.8%
Revenue Growth
10.6%
EPS Growth
-81.7%
Profit Margin
0.7%
FCF Yield
-2.1%
Debt / Equity
9.78x
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
2.77x
Current Ratio
0.84x
Dividend Yield
1.5%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.1%
Rating Score
15/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what NRG's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. NRG trades near $138.91, below its 50-day average ($143.53) and 200-day average ($156.63). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 44 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. NRG's is $5.44 (~3.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month NRG found buyers near $120.11 (support) and sellers near $143.08 (resistance); its 52-week range is $120.11–$189.96. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
NRG Energy (NRG) is a large-cap company in the Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders industry, part of the Utilities sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $28.50B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $30.35B in revenue and $864.00M in net profit.
Our model rates NRG Weak (15/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
3.2%
Revenue moved from $26.78B in 2021 to $30.35B in 2025, a 3.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 10.6% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
19.1%
Operating Margin
6.1%
Net Margin
2.8%
ROE
8.8%
NRG Energy keeps about 0.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 19.1% gross margin and 6.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 8.8% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$23.18B
Net Debt
$23.00B
Net Debt / EBITDA
12.47x
Debt / Equity
9.78x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 9.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.8x, with a current ratio of 0.8x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $23.18B of total debt against $178.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.91B
Free Cash Flow
$766.00M
FCF Margin
2.5%
In the latest year NRG Energy produced about $1.91B of operating cash flow and $766.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about -2.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
120.58x
P/S
0.92x
P/B
18.56x
EV / EBITDA
15.65x
NRG trades at 120.6x trailing earnings (about 172.3x on estimated forward earnings), 0.9x sales, and 18.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How NRG stacks up against its Utilities peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Utilities sector (31 S&P 500 companies), NRG ranks #31 of 31 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (120.6x P/E vs. 21.8x median) with a lower return on equity (8.8% vs. 10.4%) and faster revenue growth (10.6% vs. 9.0%).
P/E vs sector
120.6x
median 21.8x
ROE vs sector
8.8%
median 10.4%
Growth vs sector
10.6%
median 9.0%
Sector rank
#31
of 31 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Utilities companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 31 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$530.79 – $879.80
vs. $138.91 today · expected CAGR 31% – 45%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $33.69B | $37.39B | $41.50B | $46.07B | $51.14B |
| Net income | $1.01B | $1.12B | $1.25B | $1.38B | $1.53B |
| EPS | $4.79 | $5.32 | $5.90 | $6.55 | $7.27 |
| Share price (low) | $349.65 | $388.11 | $430.80 | $478.19 | $530.79 |
| Share price (high) | $579.55 | $643.30 | $714.06 | $792.61 | $879.80 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 152% / 317% | 67% / 115% | 46% / 73% | 36% / 55% | 31% / 45% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for NRG:
- Revenue is growing 10.6% a year, a sign of real demand.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Utilities, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against NRG:
- Thin net margins (0.7%) leave little room for error.
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 9.8x) adds financial risk.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.8x), so debt costs bite.
- A rich 120.6x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Limited free cash flow at today's price.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (15/100).
Valuation risk — at 120.6x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 9.8x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (0.7%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: NRG Energy is a large-cap utilities business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 120.6x earnings, which our model scores Weak (15/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.