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LLY

S&P 500
Favorable · 69/100

Lilly (Eli)

Health Care
Pharmaceuticals

$1,102.08

0.3%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 39.9% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$1.03T

P/E

41.14x

Forward P/E (est.)

29.38x

ROE

101.3%

Revenue Growth

47.4%

EPS Growth

128.8%

Profit Margin

35.0%

FCF Yield

0.6%

Debt / Equity

1.6x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

1.5x

Dividend Yield

0.6%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

Rating Score

69/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what LLY's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. LLY trades near $1,102.08, above its 50-day average ($1,011.09) and 200-day average ($966.09). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 49 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. LLY's is $36.98 (~3.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month LLY found buyers near $1,022.00 (support) and sellers near $1,182.73 (resistance); its 52-week range is $623.78–$1,182.73. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.4× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Lilly (Eli) (LLY) is a mega-cap company in the Pharmaceuticals industry, part of the Health Care sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $1.03T.

In its latest reported year it generated about $65.18B in revenue and $20.64B in net profit.

Our model rates LLY Favorable (69/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

23.2%

Revenue moved from $28.32B in 2021 to $65.18B in 2025, a 23.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 47.4% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

82.8%

Operating Margin

43.6%

Net Margin

31.7%

ROE

101.3%

Lilly (Eli) keeps about 35.0% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 82.8% gross margin and 43.6% operating margin. Return on equity is 101.3%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$29.47B

Net Debt

$24.19B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

1.6x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.6x, with a current ratio of 1.5x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $29.47B of total debt against $5.28B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$16.81B

Free Cash Flow

$16.81B

FCF Margin

25.8%

In the latest year Lilly (Eli) produced about $16.81B of operating cash flow and $16.81B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 0.6% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

41.14x

P/S

16.3x

P/B

37.47x

EV / EBITDA

LLY trades at 41.1x trailing earnings (about 29.4x on estimated forward earnings), 16.3x sales, and 37.5x book value. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
41.1xExpensive
Forward P/E
29.4xExpensive
P/S ratio
16.3xExpensive
Revenue growth
47.4%Strong
EPS growth
128.8%Strong
Gross margin
82.8%Strong
Net margin
35.0%Strong
ROE
101.3%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How LLY stacks up against its Health Care peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Health Care sector (59 S&P 500 companies), LLY ranks #6 of 59 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (41.1x P/E vs. 25.4x median) with a higher return on equity (101.3% vs. 14.9%) and faster revenue growth (47.4% vs. 7.9%).

P/E vs sector

41.1x

median 25.4x

ROE vs sector

101.3%

median 14.9%

Growth vs sector

47.4%

median 7.9%

Sector rank

#6

of 59 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
LLYThis stock41.1x47.4%Favorable· 69
JNJ26.1x7.9%Neutral· 56
MRK31.4x2.9%Weak· 40
PFE19.1x1.4%Neutral· 48
BMY18.5x1.8%Favorable· 60
ZTS12.6x2.4%Favorable· 63
VTRS1.6%Weak· 29
ABBV104.4x9.5%Weak· 31
Health Care median25.4x7.9%52/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianJNJMRKPFEBMYZTSABBVLLYP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Health Care companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 59 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$3,549.00$5,820.36

vs. $1,102.08 today · expected CAGR 26%39%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$94.51B$137.04B$198.71B$288.12B$417.78B
Net income$30.24B$43.85B$63.59B$92.20B$133.69B
EPS$32.11$46.57$67.52$97.90$141.96
Share price (low)$802.85$1,164.13$1,687.99$2,447.59$3,549.00
Share price (high)$1,316.67$1,909.18$2,768.30$4,014.04$5,820.36
CAGR (low–high)-27% / 19%3% / 32%15% / 36%22% / 38%26% / 39%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for LLY:

  • Revenue is growing 47.4% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • High net margins (35.0%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Strong return on equity (101.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (69/100).
Bear Case

The case against LLY:

  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.6x) adds financial risk.
  • A rich 41.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
  • Limited free cash flow at today's price.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 41.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.6x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Lilly (Eli) is a mega-cap health care business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 41.1x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (69/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.